Prediksi Olahraga

Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 National Arena Toshe Proeski

Latvia

Tips Kami

Ringkasan Peluang Gol Performa H2H Taktik Pemain Indeks Prediksi Aliran Laga Heatmap Risiko Akurasi Bandingkan

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 encounter between North Macedonia and Latvia promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. North Macedonia averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in recent matches. Latvia shows a form average of 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for North Macedonia, 0 wins for Latvia, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 13.11.25 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.25 for North Macedonia and 1.19 for Latvia, suggesting the primary value lies in the North Macedonia double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

50%

North Macedonia

27%

Seri

23%

Latvia

Proyeksi hasil seri: 27% Unggulan: North Macedonia

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

82% / Tinggi Keyakinan

North Macedonia mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Latvia.
Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.25 vs 1.19 xG).
Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%

Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 68%

Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 35%

Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 21%

Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%

Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 34%

North Macedonia Tanpa Kebobolan 20%

Latvia Tanpa Kebobolan 11%

Gol Babak Pertama 61%

Gol Babak Kedua 65%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik	North Macedonia	Latvia
Main	30	30
Menang	10	6
Seri	11	7
Kalah	9	17
Gol Masuk	1.17	0.57
Gol Kemasukan	1.27	1.6
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.63
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA)	1.75	1.50

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

13.11.25 Friendly International

North Macedonia vs Latvia

Penguasaan: 42% - 55% Kartu: 2 - 1

0:0

14.11.24 UEFA Nations League

North Macedonia vs Latvia

Penguasaan: 57% - 42% Kartu: 3 - 2

1:0

10.10.24 UEFA Nations League

Latvia vs North Macedonia

Penguasaan: 49% - 43% Kartu: 3 - 3

0:3

09.09.19 Euro

Latvia vs North Macedonia

Penguasaan: 46% - 45% Kartu: 0 - 4

0:2

21.03.19 Euro

North Macedonia vs Latvia

Penguasaan: 49% - 41% Kartu: 4 - 1

3:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

North Macedonia

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang

Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Latvia

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang

Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

North Macedonia Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Serafimov N.

1 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A

0 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 0.77

Rata-rata xA / laga 0.5

Latvia Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak N/A

0 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A

0 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 0.57

Rata-rata xA / laga 0.35

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

North Macedonia 49 / 100

Latvia 23 / 100

Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

North Macedonia Latvia

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: North Macedonia or Draw (1X)

Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals

Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)

Prediksi BTTS No (NG)

Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +20.8%

3.45

*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

North Macedonia is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

North Macedonia 55%

Latvia 18%

15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

Latvia will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of North Macedonia's attacks.

North Macedonia 48%

Latvia 24%

30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect North Macedonia to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

North Macedonia 50%

Latvia 23%

45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see North Macedonia vary their attacking width.

North Macedonia 53%

Latvia 22%

60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for Latvia, allowing North Macedonia's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

North Macedonia 45%

Latvia 25%

75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect a final offensive push from North Macedonia, while Latvia takes risks to salvage a result.

North Macedonia 57%

Latvia 26%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

North Macedonia menyerang → ← menyerang Latvia

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

North Macedonia have found the net in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Latvia have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.

North Macedonia remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Latvia suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah

Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Continental tournament fixture. Elite European competition dynamics apply, with massive stakes for both clubs.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

41 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 25

1.00 Expected goals (xG) 0.63

1.75 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sweden	6	5	1	0	19:4	16
2	Slovakia	6	4	1	1	10:5	13
3	Estonia	6	1	1	4	3:9	4
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:17	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Romania	6	6	0	18:3	18
2	Kosovo	6	4	2	10:7	12
3	Cyprus	6	2	4	4:15	6
4	Lithuania	6	0	6	4:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Northern Ireland	6	3	2	1	11:3	11
2	Bulgaria	6	2	3	1	3:6	9
3	Belarus	6	1	4	1	3:4	7
4	Luxembourg	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	North Macedonia	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Armenia	6	2	1	3	8:9	7
3	Faroe Islands	6	1	3	2	5:6	6
4	Latvia	6	1	1	4	4:11	4