Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Norway vs Slovenia

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Ullevaal Stadion
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 encounter between Norway and Slovenia promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Norway averages 2.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Slovenia shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Norway, 1 wins for Slovenia, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.11.24 ended in a 1:4 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.83 for Norway and 0.87 for Slovenia, suggesting the primary value lies in the Norway double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

41%
Norway
34%
Seri
25%
Slovenia
Proyeksi hasil seri: 34% Unggulan: Norway

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

76% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Norway mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Slovenia.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.83 vs 0.87 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 57%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 90%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 77%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 57%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 34%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 17%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 57%
Norway Tanpa Kebobolan 25%
Slovenia Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Gol Babak Pertama 69%
Gol Babak Kedua 73%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Norway Slovenia
Main 30 30
Menang 19 10
Seri 6 13
Kalah 5 7
Gol Masuk 2.73 1.03
Gol Kemasukan 1.13 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.86
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 0.88 1.29

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

14.11.24 UEFA Nations League
Slovenia vs Norway
1:4
10.10.24 UEFA Nations League
Norway vs Slovenia
3:0
24.09.22 UEFA Nations League
Slovenia vs Norway
2:1
09.06.22 UEFA Nations League
Norway vs Slovenia
0:0
16.11.18 UEFA Nations League
Slovenia vs Norway
1:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Norway

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Slovenia

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Norway Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Haaland E.
2 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Sorloth A.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.83
Rata-rata xA / laga 1.19

Slovenia Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak N/A
0 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.78
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.48

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Norway 42 / 100
Slovenia 25 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Norway Slovenia

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Norway or Draw (1X)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Norway 45%
Slovenia 20%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Norway 39%
Slovenia 26%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Norway 41%
Slovenia 25%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Norway 43%
Slovenia 24%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Norway 37%
Slovenia 28%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Norway 47%
Slovenia 29%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Norway menyerang → ← menyerang Slovenia

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Norway have found the net in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Slovenia have conceded at least one goal in 67% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.

Norway remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Slovenia suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Continental tournament fixture. Elite European competition dynamics apply, with massive stakes for both clubs.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

63 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 43
2.38 Expected goals (xG) 0.86
0.88 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.29

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Czech Republic63219:811
2Ukraine62228:88
3Georgia62137:67
4Albania62134:67
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England650116:315
2Greece650111:415
3Ireland62043:126
4Finland60062:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway641115:713
2Austria632114:511
3Slovenia62227:98
4Kazakhstan60150:151
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wales63309:412
2Turkey63219:611
3Iceland621310:137
4Montenegro61054:93