Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf vs Einheit Wernigerode

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Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2022/2023
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2022/2023 encounter between Oberlausitz Neugersdorf and Einheit Wernigerode promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Oberlausitz Neugersdorf averages 0.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded in recent matches. Einheit Wernigerode shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Oberlausitz Neugersdorf, 2 wins for Einheit Wernigerode, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 10.06.23 ended in a 5:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.35 for Oberlausitz Neugersdorf and 4.00 for Einheit Wernigerode, suggesting the primary value lies in the Einheit Wernigerode double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

26%
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
21%
Seri
53%
Einheit Wernigerode
Proyeksi hasil seri: 21% Unggulan: Einheit Wernigerode

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

82% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Oberlausitz Neugersdorf mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Einheit Wernigerode.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.35 vs 4.00 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 69%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 87%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 89%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 69%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 41%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 21%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 56%
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Einheit Wernigerode Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Gol Babak Pertama 80%
Gol Babak Kedua 85%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Oberlausitz Neugersdorf Einheit Wernigerode
Main 29 37
Menang 4 15
Seri 7 6
Kalah 18 16
Gol Masuk 0.76 1.59
Gol Kemasukan 2.34 1.86
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 8.00 1.50

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

10.06.23 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf vs Einheit Wernigerode
5:2
06.04.23 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Einheit Wernigerode vs Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
3:0
30.04.22 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf vs Einheit Wernigerode
1:1
18.09.21 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Einheit Wernigerode vs Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
3:2

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Einheit Wernigerode

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Keil T.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Wolf L.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0
Rata-rata xA / laga 0

Einheit Wernigerode Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Treu N.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.36
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.83

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 25 / 100
Einheit Wernigerode 50 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf Einheit Wernigerode

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Einheit Wernigerode Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Einheit Wernigerode & Over 2.5
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Einheit Wernigerode will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 29%
Einheit Wernigerode 42%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Einheit Wernigerode's early runs.

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 25%
Einheit Wernigerode 56%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Einheit Wernigerode to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Oberlausitz Neugersdorf tries to push forward.

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 26%
Einheit Wernigerode 53%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments will see Einheit Wernigerode increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 27%
Einheit Wernigerode 50%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for Oberlausitz Neugersdorf's defense, opening up opportunities for Einheit Wernigerode's forward line.

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 23%
Einheit Wernigerode 58%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Einheit Wernigerode to manage the closing stages, while Oberlausitz Neugersdorf searches for late drama.

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 30%
Einheit Wernigerode 61%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf menyerang → ← menyerang Einheit Wernigerode

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf have found the net in 45% of their last 29 matches.

Einheit Wernigerode have conceded at least one goal in 86% of their last 37 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.25 goals per match.

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Einheit Wernigerode suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

19 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 51
0.00 Expected goals (xG) 1.50
8.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Eilenburg34225765:3371
2Krieschow34205981:5365
3Bischofswerdaer34178969:3659
4Plauen34169982:4757
5Bautzen341661266:5554
6Auerbach341214855:4250
7Freital341481249:4250
8Sandersdorf3413101137:4349
9Einheit Wernigerode341391266:6648
10Einheit Rudolstadt3412111150:5347
11Halle341281445:4944
12Ludwigsfelder3411101335:3843
13Grimma3410121241:4642
14An der Fahner Hohe341251750:6741
15Wacker Nordhausen341061842:6536
16Blau-Weiss Zorbau347101758:7731
17SV 1890 Westerhausen346101844:8428
18Oberlausitz Neugersdorf344121827:6624