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Orenburg vs Rodina Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Gazovik Stadium, Orenburg
Rab, 28 Okt 2026
VS
01.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 1-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Rodina Moscow have shipped 1.89 goals a game lately, while Orenburg have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Orenburg have won 1 to Rodina Moscow's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 18 Agu 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.19, favoring Orenburg. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

80%
Orenburg
11%
Seri
9%
Rodina Moscow
Proyeksi hasil seri: 11% Unggulan: Orenburg

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

93% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Rodina Moscow come out ahead of Orenburg on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Orenburg's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Rodina Moscow arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 98%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 87.5%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 44%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 20%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 73.8%
Orenburg Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Rodina Moscow Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Orenburg Rodina Moscow
Main 28 28
Menang 9 11
Seri 9 5
Kalah 10 12
Gol Masuk 1.25 1.71
Gol Kemasukan 1.39 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

18 Agu 2026 Russian Cup
Rodina Moscow vs Orenburg
1:4
20 Feb 2026 Club Friendly
Orenburg vs Rodina Moscow
0:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Orenburg 76 / 100
Rodina Moscow 10 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Orenburg Rodina Moscow

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Orenburg Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Rodina Moscow let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Orenburg found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Orenburg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Orenburg VS Rodina Moscow
1.38 Gol Dicetak 1.13
1.25 Gol Kebobolan 2.38
75% Atas 1.5 100%
50% Atas 2.5 75%
38% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Orenburg

(Home)
10 Oct
Orenburg
4 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
03 Oct
Orenburg
3 : 2
Tekstilshtik
03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0
Orenburg
17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0
Krasnodar
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0
Orenburg
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Rodina Moscow

(Away)
11 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 0
Rodina Moscow
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)