Prediksi Olahraga

Spanyol

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022

Serverense

Tips Kami

Ringkasan Peluang Gol Performa H2H Taktik Pemain Indeks Prediksi Aliran Laga Heatmap Risiko Akurasi Bandingkan

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 encounter between PE Sant Jordi and Serverense promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. PE Sant Jordi averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in recent matches. Serverense shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for PE Sant Jordi, 0 wins for Serverense, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 13.02.22 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.97 for PE Sant Jordi and 1.25 for Serverense, suggesting the primary value lies in the PE Sant Jordi double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

50%

PE Sant Jordi

20%

Seri

30%

Serverense

Proyeksi hasil seri: 20% Unggulan: PE Sant Jordi

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

78% / Tinggi Keyakinan

PE Sant Jordi mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Serverense.
Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (0.97 vs 1.25 xG).
Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%

Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 73%

Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 43%

Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 26%

Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 13%

Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 43%

PE Sant Jordi Tanpa Kebobolan 19%

Serverense Tanpa Kebobolan 15%

Gol Babak Pertama 66%

Gol Babak Kedua 69%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik	PE Sant Jordi	Serverense
Main	31	30
Menang	9	7
Seri	6	6
Kalah	16	17
Gol Masuk	0.97	0.83
Gol Kemasukan	1.39	1.7

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

13.02.22 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

PE Sant Jordi vs Serverense

Penguasaan: 55% - 50% Kartu: 2 - 1

2:0

12.10.21 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Serverense vs PE Sant Jordi

Penguasaan: 58% - 45% Kartu: 1 - 4

0:2

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

PE Sant Jordi

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang

Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Serverense

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang

Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

PE Sant Jordi 49 / 100

Serverense 30 / 100

Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

PE Sant Jordi Serverense

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: PE Sant Jordi or Draw (1X)

Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals

Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)

Prediksi BTTS No (NG)

Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

PE Sant Jordi 55%

Serverense 24%

15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

PE Sant Jordi 48%

Serverense 32%

30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

PE Sant Jordi 50%

Serverense 30%

45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

PE Sant Jordi 53%

Serverense 29%

60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

PE Sant Jordi 45%

Serverense 33%

75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

PE Sant Jordi 57%

Serverense 35%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

PE Sant Jordi menyerang → ← menyerang Serverense

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

PE Sant Jordi have found the net in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Serverense have conceded at least one goal in 90% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.

PE Sant Jordi remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Serverense suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang

Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

33 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 27

0.75 Expected goals (xG) 0.00

1.50 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mallorca B	40	32	5	3	105:27	101
2	Manacor	40	26	4	10	74:42	82
3	UD Poblense	40	24	8	8	89:24	80
4	Platges de Calvia	40	22	11	7	56:27	77
5	Llosetense	40	22	9	9	62:36	75
6	Santanyi	40	23	6	11	66:46	75
7	Constancia	40	20	9	11	54:38	69
8	PE Sant Jordi	40	20	8	12	57:46	68
9	Portmany	40	17	11	12	55:51	62
10	Collerense	40	17	7	16	45:49	58
11	Soller	40	16	9	15	46:52	57
12	Binissalem	40	13	12	15	40:44	51
13	Mercadal	40	11	12	17	54:51	45
14	Inter Ibiza	40	12	7	21	51:62	43
15	Rotlet Molinar	40	11	9	20	35:53	42
16	El Espinar Sant Rafel	40	10	10	20	48:64	40
17	Campos	40	10	10	20	38:64	40
18	Felanitx	40	9	11	20	43:65	38
19	Serverense	40	8	7	25	35:74	31
20	Murense	40	5	8	27	31:76	23
21	Son Veri	40	4	3	33	28:121	15