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Penarol vs Montevideo City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Sel, 27 Okt 2026
VS
11.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Montevideo City have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while Penarol have conceded 0.86 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, Penarol have won 4 to Montevideo City's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 30 Sep 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.31) back Penarol to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

50%
Penarol
28%
Seri
22%
Montevideo City
Proyeksi hasil seri: 28% Unggulan: Penarol

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

76% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Montevideo City have won more games recently than Penarol.
  • Win probability leans Penarol's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Montevideo City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Penarol, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Penarol have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 19%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 9%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 72.6%
Penarol Tanpa Kebobolan 18%
Montevideo City Tanpa Kebobolan 13%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Penarol Montevideo City
Main 29 27
Menang 14 15
Seri 9 3
Kalah 6 9
Gol Masuk 1.48 1.67
Gol Kemasukan 0.86 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

30 Sep 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Penarol
1:1
26 Agu 2026 Copa Uruguay
Penarol vs Montevideo City
1:0
7 Feb 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Penarol vs Montevideo City
3:1
9 Nov 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Penarol
0:2
17 Mei 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Penarol vs Montevideo City
2:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Penarol 49 / 100
Montevideo City 22 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Penarol Montevideo City

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Penarol Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Penarol found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Montevideo City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Penarol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Penarol VS Montevideo City
1 Gol Dicetak 1.88
0.75 Gol Kebobolan 1.25
63% Atas 1.5 88%
25% Atas 2.5 50%
0% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol

(Home)
18 Oct
Liverpool M.
1 : 0
Penarol
10 Oct
Penarol
1 : 1
Progreso
04 Oct
Racing Montevideo
0 : 1
Penarol
30 Sept
Montevideo City
1 : 1
Penarol
26 Sept
Penarol
2 : 1
Boston River
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Montevideo City

(Away)
18 Oct
Albion
2 : 1
Montevideo City
14 Oct
Atletico-MG
3 : 0
Montevideo City
09 Oct
Montevideo City
1 : 0
Danubio
05 Oct
Club Nacional
2 : 0
Montevideo City
30 Sept
Montevideo City
1 : 1
Penarol
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Cerrito 2
Wanderers 3
Maldonado 4
Albion 1
Boston River 1
River Plate Montevideo 0
Central Esp. 0
Danubio 6
Plaza Colonia 0
Juventud 1
Club Nacional 3
Rentistas 0
Liverpool M. -
Cerro Largo -
Penarol -
Montevideo City -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -