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Persebaya vs Madura United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya
Sen, 26 Okt 2026
VS
12.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Persebaya host Madura United in the Super League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Persebaya at 1.79 goals for, 0.88 against; Madura United at 1.41 for, 1.69 against. Past meetings favor Persebaya slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 17 Apr 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.13) back Persebaya to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

31%
Persebaya
40%
Seri
29%
Madura United
Proyeksi hasil seri: 40% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

66% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Persebaya have won more games recently than Madura United.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 71%
Persebaya Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Madura United Tanpa Kebobolan 13%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Persebaya Madura United
Main 34 29
Menang 20 11
Seri 8 5
Kalah 6 13
Gol Masuk 1.79 1.41
Gol Kemasukan 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

17 Apr 2026 Super League
Persebaya vs Madura United
1:2
3 Jan 2026 Super League
Madura United vs Persebaya
0:1
20 Apr 2025 Super League
Persebaya vs Madura United
1:0
2 Des 2024 Super League
Madura United vs Persebaya
1:2
13 Mar 2024 Super League
Persebaya vs Madura United
0:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Persebaya 32 / 100
Madura United 29 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Persebaya Madura United

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Attacking prowess: Persebaya scored in 91% of their last 34 outings.

Madura United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Persebaya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Persebaya VS Madura United
1.25 Gol Dicetak 1.75
0.5 Gol Kebobolan 1
50% Atas 1.5 75%
25% Atas 2.5 50%
0% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Persebaya

(Home)
22 Oct
PSM Makassar
1 : 0
Persebaya
18 Oct
Persebaya
2 : 2
PSS Sleman
09 Oct
Isenmulang Kalteng
0 : 1
Persebaya
19 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0
PSIM Yogyakarta
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Madura United

(Away)
22 Oct
Madura United
1 : 0
Persib Bandung
16 Oct
Madura United
3 : 3
FC Bhayangkara
09 Oct
Persik Kediri
2 : 0
Madura United
18 Sept
Madura United
2 : 1
PSIM Yogyakarta
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3
Madura United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 6 5 0 1 15:5 15
2 Dewa United 6 4 2 0 12:6 14
3 Madura United 6 4 1 1 11:7 13
4 Bali United 6 4 0 2 19:7 12
5 Persita 5 3 2 0 11:8 11
6 FC Bhayangkara 6 2 4 0 11:8 10
7 Persik Kediri 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
8 Persib Bandung 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
9 Persebaya 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
10 PSM Makassar 6 2 2 2 9:12 8
11 Java United 6 2 2 2 9:9 6
12 Arema FC 6 1 3 2 12:14 6
13 Borneo 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Garudayaksa 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
15 PSS Sleman 6 1 1 4 9:11 4
16 Isenmulang Kalteng 6 1 1 4 3:12 2
17 PSIM Yogyakarta 6 0 1 5 3:11 1
18 Persijap Jepara 6 0 0 6 2:14 0
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