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Pirmasens II vs Gonsenheim

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Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2016/2017
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Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2016/2017 encounter between Pirmasens II and Gonsenheim promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Pirmasens II averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Gonsenheim shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Pirmasens II, 3 wins for Gonsenheim, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 30.04.17 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.35 for Pirmasens II and 1.36 for Gonsenheim, suggesting the primary value lies in the Gonsenheim double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

39%
Pirmasens II
15%
Seri
46%
Gonsenheim
Proyeksi hasil seri: 15% Unggulan: Gonsenheim

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

72% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Pirmasens II mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Gonsenheim.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.35 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 62%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 62%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 37%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 19%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 57%
Pirmasens II Tanpa Kebobolan 18%
Gonsenheim Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Gol Babak Pertama 74%
Gol Babak Kedua 78%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Pirmasens II Gonsenheim
Main 30 42
Menang 13 20
Seri 6 5
Kalah 11 17
Gol Masuk 2.03 1.67
Gol Kemasukan 1.6 1.45

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

30.04.17 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Pirmasens II vs Gonsenheim
1:2
23.10.16 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Gonsenheim vs Pirmasens II
2:1
13.03.16 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Gonsenheim vs Pirmasens II
1:2
26.08.15 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Pirmasens II vs Gonsenheim
0:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Pirmasens II

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Gonsenheim

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Pirmasens II 39 / 100
Gonsenheim 43 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Pirmasens II Gonsenheim

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Gonsenheim or Draw (X2)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Pirmasens II 43%
Gonsenheim 37%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Pirmasens II 37%
Gonsenheim 48%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Pirmasens II 39%
Gonsenheim 46%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Pirmasens II 41%
Gonsenheim 44%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Pirmasens II 35%
Gonsenheim 51%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Pirmasens II 45%
Gonsenheim 53%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Pirmasens II menyerang → ← menyerang Gonsenheim

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Pirmasens II have found the net in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Gonsenheim have conceded at least one goal in 76% of their last 42 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.

Pirmasens II remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Gonsenheim suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

45 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 65
0.00 Expected goals (xG) 1.63
0.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Schott Mainz342284110:4174
2Rochling34217683:4170
3Hertha Wiesbach34214995:5067
4Mechtersheim341951078:5262
5Rot-Weiss Koblenz341831365:5157
6Karbach341510982:5355
7Saar Saarbrucken3414101067:4452
8Pirmasens II341571268:5252
9Gonsenheim3414101071:6052
10Diefflen341561387:7151
11Pfeddersheim341441675:5446
12Morlautern341371457:4946
13Hauenstein341181565:5541
14Jagersburg341222065:7438
15Salmrohr341071757:6837
16Arminia Ludwigshafen34952052:7232
17Neunkirchen34942146:7131
18SpVgg Burgbrohl3401339:2741