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Plymouth vs Swindon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Inggris Inggris

EFL Trophy Home Park, Plymouth
Sel, 10 Nov 2026
VS
07.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 1-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Swindon have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while Plymouth have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.97. Past meetings favor Plymouth slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 29 Jul 2023, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.13, favoring Plymouth. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

31%
Plymouth
40%
Seri
29%
Swindon
Proyeksi hasil seri: 40% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

66% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Swindon haven't matched Plymouth's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Plymouth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Swindon, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 73.8%
Plymouth Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Swindon Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Plymouth Swindon
Main 29 29
Menang 19 9
Seri 4 6
Kalah 6 14
Gol Masuk 1.97 1.21
Gol Kemasukan 1.31 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

29 Jul 2023 Club Friendly
Swindon vs Plymouth
3:1
20 Sep 2022 EFL Trophy
Swindon vs Plymouth
1:3
12 Okt 2021 EFL Trophy
Plymouth vs Swindon
1:3
26 Jan 2021 League One
Swindon vs Plymouth
0:2
3 Nov 2020 League One
Plymouth vs Swindon
4:2

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Plymouth 32 / 100
Swindon 28 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Plymouth Swindon

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Plymouth's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Swindon conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Plymouth went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Plymouth VS Swindon
2 Gol Dicetak 0.75
1.5 Gol Kebobolan 1.25
88% Atas 1.5 63%
63% Atas 2.5 25%
38% Atas 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Plymouth

(Home)
24 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 3
Plymouth
20 Oct
Stevenage
3 : 0
Plymouth
17 Oct
Plymouth
0 : 2
Huddersfield
10 Oct
Plymouth
2 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
06 Oct
Newport
2 : 3
Plymouth
Page 1 of 6

Swindon

(Away)
24 Oct
Bristol Rovers
0 : 0
Swindon
20 Oct
Barnet
1 : 3
Swindon
17 Oct
Swindon
1 : 1
Walsall
10 Oct
Swindon
0 : 1
Crewe
03 Oct
Rochdale
1 : 0
Swindon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Accrington 2 2 0 0 4:4 4
3 Salford 2 0 0 2 2:3 1
4 Sunderland U21 2 0 0 2 3:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Crewe 2 1 0 1 6:3 4
3 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 4:5 2
4 Aston Villa U21 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Newcastle Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 1:5 2
4 York City 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesterfield 2 2 0 0 6:4 5
2 Port Vale 2 1 0 1 3:1 4
3 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 7:6 3
4 Mansfield 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
4 Shrewsbury 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Burton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:6 2
4 Grimsby 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oldham 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Fleetwood Town 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 Leeds U21 2 1 0 1 6:7 3
4 Barnsley 2 0 0 2 4:8 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Doncaster 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Liverpool U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Rochdale 2 0 0 2 3:8 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Cheltenham 2 2 0 0 4:4 4
3 Oxford Utd 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
4 Tottenham U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 8:2 6
2 Leicester 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
3 Walsall 2 1 0 1 4:8 3
4 Fulham U21 2 0 0 2 3:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
2 Chelsea U21 3 2 0 1 5:4 5
3 Reading 2 1 0 1 1:3 2
4 Bristol Rovers 2 0 0 2 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Luton 2 2 0 0 7:1 5
3 Colchester 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
4 Ipswich U21 2 0 0 2 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 2 2 0 0 7:3 5
2 Newport 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
4 Swindon 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 2 2 0 0 5:1 5
2 Arsenal U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
3 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 0 2 1:1 2
4 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambridge Utd 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Brighton U21 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
3 Gillingham 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
4 Northampton 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0 11:2 6
2 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
3 Brentford U21 2 1 0 1 2:7 3
4 Bromley 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)