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Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Trencin

World World

Club Friendly
Sel, 7 Jul 2026
VS
00.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Club Friendly encounter between Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and Trencin promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded in recent matches. Trencin shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki, 2 wins for Trencin, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 2025-05-12 ended in a 3-2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.44 for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and 2.00 for Trencin, suggesting the primary value lies in the Trencin double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

26%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
30%
Seri
44%
Trencin
Proyeksi hasil seri: 30% Unggulan: Trencin

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

77% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Trencin.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.44 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 61%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 61%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 37%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 18%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 56%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Trencin Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Gol Babak Pertama 70%
Gol Babak Kedua 74%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Trencin
Main 27 27
Menang 3 10
Seri 11 5
Kalah 13 12
Gol Masuk 1 1.22
Gol Kemasukan 1.89 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

2025-05-12 Club Friendly
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Trencin
3-2
2025-04-12 Club Friendly
Trencin vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0-0
2025-03-12 Club Friendly
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Trencin
2-2
2025-02-12 Club Friendly
Trencin vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3-1
2025-01-12 Club Friendly
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Trencin
1-2

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Trencin

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 25 / 100
Trencin 42 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Trencin

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Trencin or Draw (X2)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 29%
Trencin 35%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 25%
Trencin 46%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 26%
Trencin 44%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 27%
Trencin 42%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 23%
Trencin 48%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 30%
Trencin 51%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki menyerang → ← menyerang Trencin

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki have found the net in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Trencin have conceded at least one goal in 67% of their last 27 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.20 goals per match.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Trencin suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Friendly match context where both Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and Trencin will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

20 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 35
0.88 Expected goals (xG) 2.00
2.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 2.00