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Pontefract Collieries vs Ashton United

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Club Friendly 2022
Sab, 6 Agu 2022
VS
02.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Club Friendly 2022 encounter between Pontefract Collieries and Ashton United promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Pontefract Collieries averages 1.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded in recent matches. Ashton United shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Pontefract Collieries, 1 wins for Ashton United, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.08.22 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for Pontefract Collieries and 1.05 for Ashton United, suggesting the primary value lies in the Ashton United double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

38%
Pontefract Collieries
16%
Seri
46%
Ashton United
Proyeksi hasil seri: 16% Unggulan: Ashton United

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

72% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Pontefract Collieries mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Ashton United.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.23 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 58%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 58%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 35%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 17%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 53%
Pontefract Collieries Tanpa Kebobolan 22%
Ashton United Tanpa Kebobolan 12%
Gol Babak Pertama 70%
Gol Babak Kedua 74%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Pontefract Collieries Ashton United
Main 27 30
Menang 10 11
Seri 2 7
Kalah 15 12
Gol Masuk 1.67 1.17
Gol Kemasukan 2.26 1.4

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

06.08.22 Club Friendly
Pontefract Collieries vs Ashton United
0:0
21.09.19 FA Cup
Ashton United vs Pontefract Collieries
1:0

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Pontefract Collieries

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Ashton United

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Pontefract Collieries 39 / 100
Ashton United 44 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Pontefract Collieries Ashton United

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Ashton United or Draw (X2)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Pontefract Collieries 42%
Ashton United 37%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Pontefract Collieries 36%
Ashton United 48%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Pontefract Collieries 38%
Ashton United 46%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Pontefract Collieries 40%
Ashton United 44%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Pontefract Collieries 34%
Ashton United 51%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Pontefract Collieries 44%
Ashton United 53%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Pontefract Collieries menyerang → ← menyerang Ashton United

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Pontefract Collieries have found the net in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Ashton United have conceded at least one goal in 80% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 0.50 goals per match.

Pontefract Collieries remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Ashton United suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Friendly match context where both Pontefract Collieries and Ashton United will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

32 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 40
0.00 Expected goals (xG) 1.00
0.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.25