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Portugal vs Spain

World World

World Championship 2026 AT&T Stadium
Sen, 6 Jul 2026
VS
07.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This World Championship 2026 encounter between Portugal and Spain promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Portugal averages 2.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded in recent matches. Spain shows a form average of 2.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Portugal, 1 wins for Spain, and 3 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 08.06.25 ended in a 3:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.56 for Portugal and 1.06 for Spain, suggesting the primary value lies in the Spain double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

32%
Portugal
32%
Seri
36%
Spain
Proyeksi hasil seri: 32% Unggulan: Spain

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

70% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Portugal mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Spain.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.56 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 61%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 75%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 61%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 37%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 18%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 48%
Portugal Tanpa Kebobolan 22%
Spain Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Gol Babak Pertama 68%
Gol Babak Kedua 71%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Portugal Spain
Main 30 29
Menang 19 22
Seri 6 6
Kalah 5 1
Gol Masuk 2.13 2.52
Gol Kemasukan 0.9 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.63
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 0.50 0.50

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

08.06.25 UEFA Nations League
Portugal vs Spain
3:2
27.09.22 UEFA Nations League
Portugal vs Spain
0:1
02.06.22 UEFA Nations League
Spain vs Portugal
1:1
04.06.21 Friendly International
Spain vs Portugal
0:0
07.10.20 Friendly International
Portugal vs Spain
0:0

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Portugal

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Spain

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Portugal 33 / 100
Spain 34 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Portugal Spain

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Spain or Draw (X2)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Portugal 35%
Spain 29%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Portugal 30%
Spain 38%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Portugal 32%
Spain 36%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Portugal 34%
Spain 34%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Portugal 29%
Spain 40%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Portugal 37%
Spain 41%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Portugal menyerang → ← menyerang Spain

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Portugal have found the net in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Spain have conceded at least one goal in 48% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.60 goals per match.

Portugal remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Spain suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

63 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 72
2.63 Expected goals (xG) 1.63
0.50 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.50