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Real Aviles vs UD Ourense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta, Avilés
Min, 18 Okt 2026
VS
04.15 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Real Aviles host UD Ourense in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Real Aviles have averaged 1.37 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against UD Ourense's 1.24 scored and 1.14 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 0.88, favoring UD Ourense. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

90%
Real Aviles
6%
Seri
4%
UD Ourense
Proyeksi hasil seri: 6% Unggulan: Real Aviles

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

95% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • UD Ourense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Real Aviles a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 19%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 9%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 76.2%
Real Aviles Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
UD Ourense Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Real Aviles UD Ourense
Main 30 29
Menang 5 12
Seri 14 8
Kalah 11 9
Gol Masuk 1.37 1.24
Gol Kemasukan 1.63 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Real Aviles 85 / 100
UD Ourense 10 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Real Aviles UD Ourense

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Real Aviles Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Real Aviles scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

UD Ourense let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Real Aviles has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: UD Ourense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

Real Aviles VS UD Ourense
1.63 Gol Dicetak 0.5
1.25 Gol Kebobolan 1.5
88% Atas 1.5 75%
50% Atas 2.5 25%
25% Atas 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Aviles

(Home)
02 Oct
Real Aviles
1 : 2
Lugo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3
Real Aviles
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
12 Sept
Real Aviles
3 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Real Aviles
Page 1 of 6

UD Ourense

(Away)
03 Oct
Real Union
1 : 1
UD Ourense
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1
UD Ourense
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
05 Sept
Mirandes
2 : 0
UD Ourense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
4 Cacereno 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
5 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Mirandes 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Zamora 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Racing Club Ferrol 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
10 Deportivo Fabril 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
13 CD Extremadura 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
14 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
15 Unionistas de Salamanca 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
16 Barakaldo 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
19 UD Ourense 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)