Prediksi Olahraga
Ringkasan Pertandingan
Keith is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Rothes, backed by a win probability of 74%. Rothes averages 0.9 goals scored and 3.9 conceded in recent matches. Keith shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Rothes, 5 wins for Keith, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 11.04.26 ended in a 1:5 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.88 for Rothes and 2.94 for Keith, suggesting the primary value lies in the Keith double chance or over markets.
Peluang Kemenangan
Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang
Keyakinan Model
Skor indikator gabungan
- Rothes mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Keith.
- Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (0.88 vs 2.94 xG).
- Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
- Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 68%).
Peluang Gol
Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG
Analisis Performa Terakhir
Rata-rata per laga
| Metrik | Rothes | Keith |
|---|---|---|
| Main | 30 | 30 |
| Menang | 1 | 17 |
| Seri | 4 | 6 |
| Kalah | 25 | 7 |
| Gol Masuk | 0.9 | 1.63 |
| Gol Kemasukan | 3.87 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) | 4.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama
Profil Taktis Pertandingan
Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol
Rothes
Keith
Indeks Momentum Sokapicks
Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)
Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan
Prediksi Mesin
Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama
Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)
Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar
Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan
Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit
Keith will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Rothes will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Keith's early runs.
Expect Keith to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Rothes tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Keith increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Rothes's defense, opening up opportunities for Keith's forward line.
Expect Keith to manage the closing stages, while Rothes searches for late drama.
Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan
Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan
Insight Pintar
Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis
Rothes have found the net in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Keith have conceded at least one goal in 67% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.80 goals per match.
Rothes remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Keith suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Analisis Risiko
Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Kontrol Komparasi Tim
Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brora Rangers | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 97:35 | 75 |
| 2 | Brechin | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 78:23 | 74 |
| 3 | Formartine Utd | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 65:27 | 71 |
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 75:39 | 68 |
| 5 | Clachnacuddin | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 78:40 | 61 |
| 6 | Banks O' Dee | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 58:35 | 58 |
| 7 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52:47 | 58 |
| 8 | Buckie Thistle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 62:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Nairn County | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 56:52 | 49 |
| 10 | Turriff United | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 60:50 | 48 |
| 11 | Huntly | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 46:43 | 43 |
| 12 | Forres Mechanics | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 52:67 | 40 |
| 13 | Strathspey Thistle | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 49:83 | 38 |
| 14 | Deveronvale | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 46:87 | 37 |
| 15 | Inverurie Loco Works | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 47:66 | 30 |
| 16 | Wick Academy | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 42:65 | 28 |
| 17 | Lossiemouth | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20:76 | 17 |
| 18 | Rothes | 34 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 33:134 | 7 |