Prediksi Olahraga

Japan

J2/J3 League Ekimae Real Estate Stadium

Gainare Tottori

Tips Kami

Ringkasan Peluang Gol Performa H2H Taktik Pemain Indeks Prediksi Aliran Laga Heatmap Risiko Akurasi Bandingkan

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This J2/J3 League encounter between Sagan Tosu and Gainare Tottori promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Sagan Tosu averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Gainare Tottori shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for Sagan Tosu, 0 wins for Gainare Tottori, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.05.26 ended in a 4:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.75 for Sagan Tosu and 1.44 for Gainare Tottori, suggesting the primary value lies in the Sagan Tosu double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

46%

Sagan Tosu

15%

Seri

39%

Gainare Tottori

Proyeksi hasil seri: 15% Unggulan: Sagan Tosu

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

72% / Sedang Keyakinan

Sagan Tosu mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Gainare Tottori.
Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.75 vs 1.44 xG).
Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 56%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%

Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 72%

Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 56%

Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 34%

Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 17%

Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 53%

Sagan Tosu Tanpa Kebobolan 16%

Gainare Tottori Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Gol Babak Pertama 65%

Gol Babak Kedua 68%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik	Sagan Tosu	Gainare Tottori
Main	30	30
Menang	15	17
Seri	3	0
Kalah	12	13
Gol Masuk	1.47	1.5
Gol Kemasukan	1.17	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.88
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA)	1.00	1.63

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

06.05.26 J2/J3 League

Sagan Tosu vs Gainare Tottori

Penguasaan: 55% - 57% Kartu: 4 - 1

4:0

29.03.26 J2/J3 League

Gainare Tottori vs Sagan Tosu

Penguasaan: 57% - 43% Kartu: 2 - 1

0:2

04.09.11 J2 League

Gainare Tottori vs Sagan Tosu

Penguasaan: 53% - 54% Kartu: 0 - 1

3:6

14.08.11 J2 League

Sagan Tosu vs Gainare Tottori

Penguasaan: 58% - 55% Kartu: 4 - 2

1:0

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Sagan Tosu

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)

Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Gainare Tottori

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)

Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Sagan Tosu Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Yoshino K.

1 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak Shiohama R.

1 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 1.45

Rata-rata xA / laga 0.94

Gainare Tottori Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak N/A

0 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A

0 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 1.71

Rata-rata xA / laga 1.04

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Sagan Tosu 45 / 100

Gainare Tottori 37 / 100

Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

Sagan Tosu Gainare Tottori

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Sagan Tosu or Draw (1X)

Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals

Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)

Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)

Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Sagan Tosu 51%

Gainare Tottori 31%

15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Sagan Tosu 44%

Gainare Tottori 41%

30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Sagan Tosu 46%

Gainare Tottori 39%

45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Sagan Tosu 48%

Gainare Tottori 37%

60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Sagan Tosu 41%

Gainare Tottori 43%

75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Sagan Tosu 53%

Gainare Tottori 45%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Sagan Tosu menyerang → ← menyerang Gainare Tottori

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Sagan Tosu have found the net in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Gainare Tottori have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.00 goals per match.

Sagan Tosu remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Gainare Tottori suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang

Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

48 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 51

1.88 Expected goals (xG) 1.88

1.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15