Prediksi Olahraga
Ringkasan Pertandingan
The Pacific Games 2019 game between Samoa and Tonga finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samoa.
Peluang Kemenangan
Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang
9%
11%
80%
Proyeksi hasil seri: 11% Unggulan: Tonga
Keyakinan Model
Skor indikator gabungan
93%
/ Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
- Samoa carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Tonga's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 81%).
- Samoa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Peluang Gol
Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG
Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 99%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 88%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 81%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 56.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 25%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 67.8%
Samoa Tanpa Kebobolan 13%
Tonga Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Analisis Performa Terakhir
Rata-rata per laga
| Metrik | Samoa | Tonga |
|---|---|---|
| Main | 32 | 30 |
| Menang | 13 | 5 |
| Seri | 1 | 2 |
| Kalah | 18 | 23 |
| Gol Masuk | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Gol Kemasukan | 3.25 | 3.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.88 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama
9 Sep 2024 World Championship
Tonga vs Samoa
1:2
20 Mar 2024 OFC Nations Cup
Tonga vs Samoa
1:4
12 Jul 2019 Pacific Games
Samoa vs Tonga
2:0
4 Sep 2015 World Championship
Tonga vs Samoa
0:3
25 Nov 2011 World Championship
Samoa vs Tonga
1:1
Indeks Momentum SokaPicks
Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)
Samoa 11 / 100
Tonga 74 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).
Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan
Samoa Tonga
Prediksi Mesin
Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama
Pilihan Utama TON Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5
Insight Pintar
Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis
Tonga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Tonga's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Samoa scored in 53% of their last 32 games.
Tren Skor
Samoa VS Tonga
2.63 Gol Dicetak 1.38
2 Gol Kebobolan 3.13
88% Atas 1.5 88%
75% Atas 2.5 88%
38% Atas 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Samoa
(Home) 18 Nov
Samoa
0 : 8 New Zealand
15 Nov
Samoa
0 : 3 Tahiti
12 Oct
Vanuatu
4 : 1 Samoa
09 Sept
Tonga
1 : 2 Samoa
06 Sept
American Samoa
0 : 2 Samoa
Page 1 of 7
18 Nov
Samoa
0 : 8 New Zealand
15 Nov
Samoa
0 : 3 Tahiti
22 Jun
Samoa
1 : 2 Papua New Guinea
19 Jun
Samoa
1 : 9 Fiji
22 Mar
Samoa
1 : 0 Cook Islands
Page 1 of 3
Tonga
(Away) 09 Sept
Tonga
1 : 2 Samoa
05 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3 Tonga
31 Aug
Ba
4 : 0 Tonga
26 Mar
Cook Islands
1 : 0 Tonga
20 Mar
Tonga
1 : 4 Samoa
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3 Tonga
31 Aug
Ba
4 : 0 Tonga
26 Mar
Cook Islands
1 : 0 Tonga
29 Nov
American Samoa
2 : 6 Tonga
21 Nov
Cook Islands
2 : 1 Tonga
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand U23 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Papua New Guinea | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Vanuatu | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Samoa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:22 | 3 |
| 5 | Tonga | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:37 | 0 |
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Caledonia | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22:0 | 15 |
| 2 | Fiji | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 25:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Tahiti | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Solomon Islands | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 30:9 | 7 |
| 5 | American Samoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:36 | 1 |
| 6 | Tuvalu | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:42 | 1 |
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
