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San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
Sen, 12 Okt 2026
1 - 0
12.00 AM
Tips Kami

Acara Pertandingan

1'
Alvarez D.
6' Event
Allen T.
Assist: Heisner J.

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Tacoma Defiance have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while San Jose Earthquakes II have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.93. Past meetings favor Tacoma Defiance slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 6 Sep 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.63 - 1.88) back Tacoma Defiance to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

60%
San Jose Earthquakes II
22%
Seri
18%
Tacoma Defiance
Proyeksi hasil seri: 22% Unggulan: San Jose Earthquakes II

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

82% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Tacoma Defiance have won more games recently than San Jose Earthquakes II.
  • Win probability leans San Jose Earthquakes II's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Tacoma Defiance arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tacoma Defiance, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 82%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tacoma Defiance have taken 5 of them.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 99%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 94%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 31.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 14%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 73.4%
San Jose Earthquakes II Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Tacoma Defiance Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik San Jose Earthquakes II Tacoma Defiance
Main 29 29
Menang 14 15
Seri 0 0
Kalah 15 14
Gol Masuk 1.93 1.66
Gol Kemasukan 1.48 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

6 Sep 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance
1:2
13 Jul 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance
0:1
15 Mar 2026 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs San Jose Earthquakes II
1:0
28 Sep 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance
0:1
4 Jul 2025 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs San Jose Earthquakes II
5:4

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

San Jose Earthquakes II Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Allen T.
1 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.25
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.81

Tacoma Defiance Bandingkan

Rata-rata xG / laga 1.71
Rata-rata xA / laga 1.04

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes II 56 / 100
Tacoma Defiance 18 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
San Jose Earthquakes II Tacoma Defiance

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama San Jose Earthquakes II Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Attacking prowess: San Jose Earthquakes II scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Tacoma Defiance has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

San Jose Earthquakes II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

San Jose Earthquakes II VS Tacoma Defiance
1.13 Gol Dicetak 2
1.75 Gol Kebobolan 2.13
88% Atas 1.5 100%
75% Atas 2.5 100%
13% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Jose Earthquakes II

(Home)
20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 2
San Jose Earthquakes II
14 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
4 : 0
Real Monarchs
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3
Ventura County
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
San Jose Earthquakes II
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC 2
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Tacoma Defiance

(Away)
20 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1
Portland Timbers 2
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
Real Monarchs
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0
Sporting Kansas City II
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
New York Red Bulls II -
Huntsville City -
San Jose Earthquakes II -
Tacoma Defiance -