Prediksi Olahraga
San Marcial vs AF Calahorra
Spanyol
Tercera Division - Group 16 2009/2010 
Ringkasan Pertandingan
San Marcial enters this Tercera Division - Group 16 2009/2010 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 64%. San Marcial averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in recent matches. AF Calahorra shows a form average of 0.7 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for San Marcial, 1 wins for AF Calahorra, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 27.02.11 ended in a 1:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.29 for San Marcial and 1.25 for AF Calahorra, suggesting the primary value lies in the San Marcial double chance or over markets.
Peluang Kemenangan
Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang
Keyakinan Model
Skor indikator gabungan
- San Marcial mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding AF Calahorra.
- Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.29 vs 1.25 xG).
- Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
- Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 60%).
Peluang Gol
Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG
Analisis Performa Terakhir
Rata-rata per laga
| Metrik | San Marcial | AF Calahorra |
|---|---|---|
| Main | 33 | 30 |
| Menang | 11 | 4 |
| Seri | 10 | 4 |
| Kalah | 12 | 22 |
| Gol Masuk | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| Gol Kemasukan | 1.7 | 2.9 |
H2H
Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama
Profil Taktis Pertandingan
Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol
San Marcial
AF Calahorra
Indeks Momentum Sokapicks
Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)
Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan
Prediksi Mesin
Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama
Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)
Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar
Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan
Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit
San Marcial is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
AF Calahorra will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of San Marcial's attacks.
Expect San Marcial to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see San Marcial vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for AF Calahorra, allowing San Marcial's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from San Marcial, while AF Calahorra takes risks to salvage a result.
Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan
Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan
Insight Pintar
Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis
San Marcial have found the net in 67% of their last 33 matches.
AF Calahorra have conceded at least one goal in 93% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.80 goals per match.
San Marcial remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
AF Calahorra suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Analisis Risiko
Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Kontrol Komparasi Tim
Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oyonesa | 38 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 76:15 | 90 |
| 2 | Alfaro | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 111:22 | 89 |
| 3 | Haro Deportivo | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 91:22 | 88 |
| 4 | Anguiano | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 96:37 | 83 |
| 5 | CD Calahorra | 38 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 93:30 | 80 |
| 6 | Naxara | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 68:28 | 75 |
| 7 | River Ebro | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 67:32 | 68 |
| 8 | Arnedo | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 65:49 | 61 |
| 9 | Agoncillo | 38 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 60:66 | 57 |
| 10 | San Marcial | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 64:51 | 54 |
| 11 | Calasancio | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35:54 | 48 |
| 12 | Vianes | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 54:73 | 41 |
| 13 | Berceo | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 32:67 | 35 |
| 14 | Pradejon | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 36:74 | 34 |
| 15 | AF Calahorra | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 38:92 | 33 |
| 16 | Aldeano | 38 | 10 | 2 | 26 | 38:86 | 32 |
| 17 | Cenicero | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 29:69 | 31 |
| 18 | Villegas | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 35:93 | 31 |
| 19 | Yague | 38 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 36:90 | 23 |
| 20 | CCD Alberite | 38 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 27:101 | 20 |