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Santa Cruz MT vs Chapada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brasil Brasil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Rab, 14 Okt 2026
VS
10.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Chapada have shipped 1.05 goals a game lately, while Santa Cruz MT have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Chapada slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 30 Sep 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 1.00) point toward Chapada. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

22%
Santa Cruz MT
28%
Seri
50%
Chapada
Proyeksi hasil seri: 28% Unggulan: Chapada

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

76% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Chapada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chapada's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Chapada arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 6.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 3%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 66.2%
Santa Cruz MT Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Chapada Tanpa Kebobolan 19%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Santa Cruz MT Chapada
Main 21 22
Menang 7 11
Seri 5 5
Kalah 9 6
Gol Masuk 1.14 1.86
Gol Kemasukan 1.1 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

30 Sep 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Chapada vs Santa Cruz MT
2:0
15 Jun 2025 Matogrossense 2
Santa Cruz MT vs Chapada
2:2

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Santa Cruz MT 24 / 100
Chapada 49 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Santa Cruz MT Chapada

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Chapada Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Chapada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 22 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Santa Cruz MT found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (21 games).

Recent resilience: Santa Cruz MT stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Santa Cruz MT VS Chapada
0.75 Gol Dicetak 1.38
0.63 Gol Kebobolan 0.75
50% Atas 1.5 63%
25% Atas 2.5 25%
0% Atas 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz MT

(Home)
07 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
30 Sept
Chapada
2 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
27 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
4 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
19 Sept
Uirapuru
2 : 3
Santa Cruz MT
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 5

Chapada

(Away)
07 Oct
Chapada
3 : 0
Várzea Grande EC
30 Sept
Chapada
2 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
27 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 5
Chapada
23 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Chapada
16 Sept
Chapada
1 : 1
Uirapuru
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
2 Chapada 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
3 Santa Cruz MT 5 2 0 3 8:7 6
4 Várzea Grande EC 5 2 0 3 9:13 6
5 Uirapuru 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 Sorriso EC 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
3 Cacerense 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
4 Campo Novo 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)