Prediksi Olahraga
SB Castelo Branco vs Santa Iria
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 
Ringkasan Pertandingan
SB Castelo Branco enters this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 58%. SB Castelo Branco averages 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded in recent matches. Santa Iria shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for SB Castelo Branco, 0 wins for Santa Iria, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 05.05.19 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.73 for SB Castelo Branco and 0.75 for Santa Iria, suggesting the primary value lies in the SB Castelo Branco double chance or over markets.
Peluang Kemenangan
Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang
Keyakinan Model
Skor indikator gabungan
- SB Castelo Branco mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Santa Iria.
- Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.73 vs 0.75 xG).
- Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
- Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.
Peluang Gol
Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG
Analisis Performa Terakhir
Rata-rata per laga
| Metrik | SB Castelo Branco | Santa Iria |
|---|---|---|
| Main | 32 | 30 |
| Menang | 19 | 8 |
| Seri | 4 | 7 |
| Kalah | 9 | 15 |
| Gol Masuk | 1.81 | 1.03 |
| Gol Kemasukan | 0.91 | 1.57 |
H2H
Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama
Profil Taktis Pertandingan
Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol
SB Castelo Branco
Santa Iria
Indeks Momentum Sokapicks
Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)
Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan
Prediksi Mesin
Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama
Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)
Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar
Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan
Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit
SB Castelo Branco is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Santa Iria will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of SB Castelo Branco's attacks.
Expect SB Castelo Branco to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see SB Castelo Branco vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Santa Iria, allowing SB Castelo Branco's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from SB Castelo Branco, while Santa Iria takes risks to salvage a result.
Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan
Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan
Insight Pintar
Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis
SB Castelo Branco have found the net in 81% of their last 32 matches.
Santa Iria have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.
SB Castelo Branco remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Santa Iria suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Analisis Risiko
Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Kontrol Komparasi Tim
Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leiria | 34 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 59:24 | 75 |
| 2 | Vilafranquense | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 56:22 | 72 |
| 3 | Anadia | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 52:23 | 71 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 45:23 | 62 |
| 5 | Sintrense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 49:41 | 54 |
| 6 | Oliveira Hospital | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 42:27 | 52 |
| 7 | Alverca | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:33 | 51 |
| 8 | Caldas SC | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:38 | 46 |
| 9 | Oleiros | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 38:44 | 45 |
| 10 | Torreense | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36:36 | 44 |
| 11 | Fatima | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 38:46 | 43 |
| 12 | GS Loures | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 33:31 | 41 |
| 13 | Sertanense | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 32:36 | 41 |
| 14 | Nogueirense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Santa Iria | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 35:55 | 35 |
| 16 | Alcains | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 21:48 | 23 |
| 17 | GD Peniche | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 22:51 | 23 |
| 18 | Macao | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 20:69 | 15 |