Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Serverense vs Mallorca B

Spanyol Spanyol

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Mallorca B is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Serverense, backed by a win probability of 59%. Serverense averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in recent matches. Mallorca B shows a form average of 3.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Serverense, 3 wins for Mallorca B, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.01.22 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for Serverense and 1.55 for Mallorca B, suggesting the primary value lies in the Mallorca B double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

21%
Serverense
20%
Seri
59%
Mallorca B
Proyeksi hasil seri: 20% Unggulan: Mallorca B

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

87% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Serverense mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Mallorca B.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.23 vs 1.55 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 56%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 80%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 56%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 34%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 17%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 41%
Serverense Tanpa Kebobolan 15%
Mallorca B Tanpa Kebobolan 12%
Gol Babak Pertama 72%
Gol Babak Kedua 76%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Serverense Mallorca B
Main 30 31
Menang 7 23
Seri 6 6
Kalah 17 2
Gol Masuk 0.83 3
Gol Kemasukan 1.7 0.74

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

16.01.22 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Serverense vs Mallorca B
1:1
19.09.21 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mallorca B vs Serverense
2:1
25.03.18 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mallorca B vs Serverense
5:0
01.11.17 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Serverense vs Mallorca B
2:1
24.02.08 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Serverense vs Mallorca B
0:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Serverense

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Mallorca B

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Serverense 22 / 100
Mallorca B 56 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Serverense Mallorca B

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Mallorca B Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Mallorca B & Over 2.5
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Mallorca B will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Serverense 23%
Mallorca B 47%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

Serverense will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Mallorca B's early runs.

Serverense 20%
Mallorca B 62%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Mallorca B to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Serverense tries to push forward.

Serverense 21%
Mallorca B 59%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments will see Mallorca B increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Serverense 22%
Mallorca B 56%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for Serverense's defense, opening up opportunities for Mallorca B's forward line.

Serverense 19%
Mallorca B 65%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Mallorca B to manage the closing stages, while Serverense searches for late drama.

Serverense 24%
Mallorca B 68%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Serverense menyerang → ← menyerang Mallorca B

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Serverense have found the net in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Mallorca B have conceded at least one goal in 42% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.80 goals per match.

Serverense remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Mallorca B suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

27 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 75
0.00 Expected goals (xG) 2.00
0.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mallorca B403253105:27101
2Manacor402641074:4282
3UD Poblense40248889:2480
4Platges de Calvia402211756:2777
5Llosetense40229962:3675
6Santanyi402361166:4675
7Constancia402091154:3869
8PE Sant Jordi402081257:4668
9Portmany4017111255:5162
10Collerense401771645:4958
11Soller401691546:5257
12Binissalem4013121540:4451
13Mercadal4011121754:5145
14Inter Ibiza401272151:6243
15Rotlet Molinar401192035:5342
16El Espinar Sant Rafel4010102048:6440
17Campos4010102038:6440
18Felanitx409112043:6538
19Serverense40872535:7431
20Murense40582731:7623
21Son Veri40433328:12115