Prediksi Olahraga

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Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Tallaght Stadium
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Premier Division encounter between Shamrock Rovers and Derry City promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Shamrock Rovers averages 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in recent matches. Derry City shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Shamrock Rovers, 3 wins for Derry City, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 22.06.26 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.19 for Shamrock Rovers and 1.19 for Derry City, suggesting the primary value lies in the Shamrock Rovers double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

45%
Shamrock Rovers
26%
Seri
29%
Derry City
Proyeksi hasil seri: 26% Unggulan: Shamrock Rovers

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

76% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Shamrock Rovers mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Derry City.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.19 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 65%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 45%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 27%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 14%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 53%
Shamrock Rovers Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Derry City Tanpa Kebobolan 12%
Gol Babak Pertama 59%
Gol Babak Kedua 62%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Shamrock Rovers Derry City
Main 28 27
Menang 17 8
Seri 5 11
Kalah 6 8
Gol Masuk 1.71 1.3
Gol Kemasukan 0.79 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

22.06.26 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City
1:1
24.04.26 Premier Division
Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers
1:0
06.03.26 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City
1:0
31.01.26 Super Cup
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City
0:1
26.10.25 Premier Division
Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers
2:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Shamrock Rovers

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Derry City

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Shamrock Rovers 45 / 100
Derry City 29 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Shamrock Rovers Derry City

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Shamrock Rovers or Draw (1X)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Shamrock Rovers 50%
Derry City 23%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Shamrock Rovers 43%
Derry City 30%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Shamrock Rovers 45%
Derry City 29%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Shamrock Rovers 47%
Derry City 28%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Shamrock Rovers 41%
Derry City 32%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Shamrock Rovers 52%
Derry City 33%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Shamrock Rovers menyerang → ← menyerang Derry City

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Shamrock Rovers have found the net in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Derry City have conceded at least one goal in 74% of their last 27 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.60 goals per match.

Shamrock Rovers remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Derry City suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

56 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 35
1.38 Expected goals (xG) 1.38
1.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shamrock Rovers24145538:2147
2Bohemians24117638:2740
3St. Patricks22115635:1938
4Dundalk2298536:3235
5Shelbourne23710633:3431
6Derry City24611730:2729
7Galway United2166929:3424
8Drogheda22571027:3822
9Sligo Rovers22551217:3520
10Waterford22381128:4417