Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Sivas Dort vs Fatsa Bld.

Turki Turki

3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Fatsa Bld. is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Sivas Dort, backed by a win probability of 57%. Sivas Dort averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Fatsa Bld. shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Sivas Dort, 1 wins for Fatsa Bld., and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 04.02.24 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.97 for Sivas Dort and 0.99 for Fatsa Bld., suggesting the primary value lies in the Fatsa Bld. double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

27%
Sivas Dort
16%
Seri
57%
Fatsa Bld.
Proyeksi hasil seri: 16% Unggulan: Fatsa Bld.

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

83% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Sivas Dort mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Fatsa Bld..
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (0.97 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 63%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 47%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 28%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 14%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 44%
Sivas Dort Tanpa Kebobolan 23%
Fatsa Bld. Tanpa Kebobolan 15%
Gol Babak Pertama 57%
Gol Babak Kedua 60%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Sivas Dort Fatsa Bld.
Main 30 32
Menang 6 14
Seri 5 5
Kalah 19 13
Gol Masuk 0.83 1.31
Gol Kemasukan 1.63 1.22

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

04.02.24 3. Lig Group 3
Sivas Dort vs Fatsa Bld.
0:0
23.09.23 3. Lig Group 3
Fatsa Bld. vs Sivas Dort
1:0

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Sivas Dort

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Fatsa Bld.

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Sivas Dort 29 / 100
Fatsa Bld. 54 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Sivas Dort Fatsa Bld.

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Fatsa Bld. Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Fatsa Bld. & Under 3.5
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Fatsa Bld. will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Sivas Dort 30%
Fatsa Bld. 46%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

Sivas Dort will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Fatsa Bld.'s early runs.

Sivas Dort 26%
Fatsa Bld. 60%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Fatsa Bld. to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Sivas Dort tries to push forward.

Sivas Dort 27%
Fatsa Bld. 57%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments will see Fatsa Bld. increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Sivas Dort 28%
Fatsa Bld. 54%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for Sivas Dort's defense, opening up opportunities for Fatsa Bld.'s forward line.

Sivas Dort 24%
Fatsa Bld. 63%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Fatsa Bld. to manage the closing stages, while Sivas Dort searches for late drama.

Sivas Dort 31%
Fatsa Bld. 66%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Sivas Dort menyerang → ← menyerang Fatsa Bld.

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Sivas Dort have found the net in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Fatsa Bld. have conceded at least one goal in 59% of their last 32 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 0.50 goals per match.

Sivas Dort remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Fatsa Bld. suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

23 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 47
0.00 Expected goals (xG) 0.88
0.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Karakopru28179251:2460
2Erbaaspor28169355:2157
3Silivrispor28149538:2251
4Bornova 187728155847:3350
5Kusadasispor28129736:2845
6Kutahyaspor281111640:2544
7Tepecik28109929:3039
8Agri 197028109936:3539
9Fatsa Bld.28910924:2737
10Osmaniyespor28851529:3429
111922 Konyaspor28771425:3028
12Bayburt Ozel Idare286101218:3828
13Darica Genclerbirligi28671518:3325
14Akhisarspor28541925:6719
15Sivas Dort28551822:4617