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Smedby vs IFK Eskilstuna

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2024
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2024 encounter between Smedby and IFK Eskilstuna promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Smedby averages 2.1 goals scored and 1.9 conceded in recent matches. IFK Eskilstuna shows a form average of 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Smedby, 3 wins for IFK Eskilstuna, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 20.10.24 ended in a 2:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.10 for Smedby and 1.63 for IFK Eskilstuna, suggesting the primary value lies in the Smedby double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

44%
Smedby
21%
Seri
35%
IFK Eskilstuna
Proyeksi hasil seri: 21% Unggulan: Smedby

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

73% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Smedby mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding IFK Eskilstuna.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (2.10 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 72%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 90%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 72%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 43%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 22%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 72%
Smedby Tanpa Kebobolan 14%
IFK Eskilstuna Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Gol Babak Pertama 81%
Gol Babak Kedua 86%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Smedby IFK Eskilstuna
Main 32 30
Menang 13 8
Seri 7 7
Kalah 12 15
Gol Masuk 2.09 1.8
Gol Kemasukan 1.88 2.37

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

20.10.24 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs IFK Eskilstuna
2:2
14.06.24 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
IFK Eskilstuna vs Smedby
3:2
12.08.23 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
IFK Eskilstuna vs Smedby
1:2
14.04.23 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs IFK Eskilstuna
0:1
08.10.22 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
IFK Eskilstuna vs Smedby
4:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Smedby

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

IFK Eskilstuna

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Smedby Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Kronander C.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Onoseke-Longadi J.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 2.31
Rata-rata xA / laga 1.5

IFK Eskilstuna Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Rigo E.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Fritzell E.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0
Rata-rata xA / laga 0

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Smedby 42 / 100
IFK Eskilstuna 34 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Smedby IFK Eskilstuna

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Smedby or Draw (1X)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Smedby 48%
IFK Eskilstuna 28%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Smedby 42%
IFK Eskilstuna 37%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Smedby 44%
IFK Eskilstuna 35%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Smedby 46%
IFK Eskilstuna 33%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Smedby 40%
IFK Eskilstuna 39%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Smedby 51%
IFK Eskilstuna 40%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Smedby menyerang → ← menyerang IFK Eskilstuna

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Smedby have found the net in 88% of their last 32 matches.

IFK Eskilstuna have conceded at least one goal in 93% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.60 goals per match.

Smedby remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

IFK Eskilstuna suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

46 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 31
3.00 Expected goals (xG) 0.00
2.25 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Haninge26213286:3366
2Sylvia26156551:2851
3Arameisk-Syrianska26144852:3946
4Nykopings26136752:4245
5Atvidaberg261241047:4140
6Syrianska26117842:4140
7Huddinge261041239:3334
8Sleipner26971040:4834
9Enskede261031338:4133
10Nacka FC26951241:4532
11Smedby26851338:4329
12IFK Eskilstuna26671344:6125
13BK Ljungsbro26571435:5922
14Mjolby AI FF26422033:8414