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Socuellamos vs Chozas de Canales

Spanyol Spanyol

Tercera Division - Group 18 2010/2011
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Tercera Division - Group 18 2010/2011 encounter between Socuellamos and Chozas de Canales promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Socuellamos averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in recent matches. Chozas de Canales shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Socuellamos, 1 wins for Chozas de Canales, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 17.04.11 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.92 for Socuellamos and 1.38 for Chozas de Canales, suggesting the primary value lies in the Socuellamos double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

49%
Socuellamos
22%
Seri
29%
Chozas de Canales
Proyeksi hasil seri: 22% Unggulan: Socuellamos

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

78% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Socuellamos mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Chozas de Canales.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (0.92 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 76%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 46%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 28%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 14%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 49%
Socuellamos Tanpa Kebobolan 17%
Chozas de Canales Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Gol Babak Pertama 68%
Gol Babak Kedua 72%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Socuellamos Chozas de Canales
Main 39 30
Menang 12 6
Seri 11 4
Kalah 16 20
Gol Masuk 1.18 0.8
Gol Kemasukan 1.36 1.97

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

17.04.11 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Socuellamos vs Chozas de Canales
1:2
05.12.10 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Chozas de Canales vs Socuellamos
0:2

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Socuellamos

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Chozas de Canales

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Socuellamos 48 / 100
Chozas de Canales 29 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Socuellamos Chozas de Canales

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Socuellamos or Draw (1X)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Socuellamos 54%
Chozas de Canales 23%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Socuellamos 47%
Chozas de Canales 30%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Socuellamos 49%
Chozas de Canales 29%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Socuellamos 51%
Chozas de Canales 28%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Socuellamos 44%
Chozas de Canales 32%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Socuellamos 56%
Chozas de Canales 33%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Socuellamos menyerang → ← menyerang Chozas de Canales

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Socuellamos have found the net in 77% of their last 39 matches.

Chozas de Canales have conceded at least one goal in 90% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.

Socuellamos remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Chozas de Canales suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

47 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 22
0.63 Expected goals (xG) 0.00
1.75 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Toledo382610275:1888
2Albacete B38229772:3175
3La Roda382112569:3075
4UD Almansa382012654:2572
5Villarrubia382011759:3271
6Illescas38209962:3769
7Azuqueca382081070:3968
8Marchamalo381791254:4560
9La Gineta381591447:5154
10Quintanar del Rey3812161039:4952
11Socuellamos381561751:5151
12Tomelloso381391649:5548
13Manzanares381281841:5144
14Villarrobledo3811101743:4943
15Torrijos381172036:5040
16CD Carranque381091934:5839
17Hellin Deportivo389111836:5538
18Chozas de Canales38972231:6634
19Piedrabuena38382734:9517
20CD Union Criptanense38243216:8510