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South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Australia Cup AAMI Park, Melbourne
South Melbourne Logo

South Melbourne

Sab, 10 Okt 2026
2 - 1
08.35 AM
Melbourne Victory Logo

Melbourne Victory

Tips Kami

Acara Pertandingan

4'
Eliopoulos J.
42'
Yoo D.
46'
Sub
Eliopoulos J. Masuk: Retre P.
Keluar: Eliopoulos J.
Ringkasan Peluang Gol Performa H2H Taktik Pemain Indeks Prediksi Aliran Laga Akurasi Bandingkan

Ringkasan Pertandingan

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
South Melbourne
44%
Seri
20%
Melbourne Victory
Proyeksi hasil seri: 44% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

71% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • South Melbourne have won more games recently than Melbourne Victory.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • South Melbourne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor South Melbourne, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 13.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 6%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 72.2%
South Melbourne Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Melbourne Victory Tanpa Kebobolan 13%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik South Melbourne Melbourne Victory
Main 33 28
Menang 20 14
Seri 2 7
Kalah 11 7
Gol Masuk 1.88 1.79
Gol Kemasukan 1.33 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.21
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

10 Okt 2026 Australia Cup
South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory
2:1

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

South Melbourne Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Mikkola M.
1 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.88
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.57

Melbourne Victory Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Genreau D.
1 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.1
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.67

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

South Melbourne 36 / 100
Melbourne Victory 21 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
South Melbourne Melbourne Victory

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Melbourne Victory Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

South Melbourne scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Melbourne Victory has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: South Melbourne stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

South Melbourne VS Melbourne Victory
2 Gol Dicetak 1.43
1 Gol Kebobolan 0.29
88% Atas 1.5 57%
75% Atas 2.5 29%
13% Atas 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

South Melbourne

(Home)
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1
Queensland Lions
11 Sept
Oakleigh Cannons
2 : 1
South Melbourne
06 Sept
South Melbourne
2 : 1
Heidelberg Utd
29 Aug
George Cross
1 : 0
South Melbourne
26 Aug
Preston Lions
1 : 2
South Melbourne
Page 1 of 7

Melbourne Victory

(Away)
16 Sept
Viettel
1 : 1
Melbourne Victory
09 Sept
Sydney FC
0 : 2
Melbourne Victory
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1
Melbourne Victory
08 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 2
Melbourne Victory
26 Jul
Kingborough Lions
0 : 4
Melbourne Victory
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sydney Olympic 0
Brisbane Roar 3
Bayswater 1
Sydney FC 5
Rochedale 1
SD Raiders 2
Azzurri United 0
Macarthur FC 3
APIA Leichhardt 2
Peninsula 1
Sydney Utd 2
Central Coast 1
Tigers FC 0
Western Sydney Wanderers 2
Kingborough Lions 0
Melbourne Victory 4
Marlin Coast 0
Brunswick Juventus 4
Preston Lions 3
Newcastle Jets 2
South Melbourne 2
Adelaide Utd 1
Maitland 1
Fremantle City 2
Weston Workers Bears 0
Melbourne City 3
Queensland Lions 2
Perth Glory 1
FK Beograd 2
North Sunshine Eagles 3
Cumberland United 0
Heidelberg Utd 3
1/8-finals
Brisbane Roar 2
Sydney FC 4
SD Raiders 2
Macarthur FC 1
APIA Leichhardt 2
Sydney Utd 1
Western Sydney Wanderers 1
Melbourne Victory 2
Brunswick Juventus 1
Preston Lions 4
South Melbourne 4
Fremantle City 3
Melbourne City 0
Queensland Lions 2
North Sunshine Eagles 1
Heidelberg Utd 0
Quarter-finals
Sydney FC 1
SD Raiders 0
APIA Leichhardt 0
Melbourne Victory 1
Preston Lions 1
South Melbourne 2
Queensland Lions 4
North Sunshine Eagles 0
Semi-finals
Sydney FC 0
Melbourne Victory 2
South Melbourne 3
Queensland Lions 1
Final
Melbourne Victory 1
South Melbourne 2