Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

South Sudan W vs Egypt W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Egypt W is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to South Sudan W, backed by a win probability of 71%. South Sudan W averages 0.8 goals scored and 3.6 conceded in recent matches. Egypt W shows a form average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for South Sudan W, 2 wins for Egypt W, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 24.09.23 ended in a 0:4 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.25 for South Sudan W and 2.31 for Egypt W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Egypt W double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

14%
South Sudan W
15%
Seri
71%
Egypt W
Proyeksi hasil seri: 15% Unggulan: Egypt W

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

95% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • South Sudan W mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Egypt W.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.25 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 80%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 90%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 85%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 80%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 48%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 24%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 27%
South Sudan W Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Egypt W Tanpa Kebobolan 11%
Gol Babak Pertama 77%
Gol Babak Kedua 81%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik South Sudan W Egypt W
Main 28 29
Menang 5 14
Seri 1 4
Kalah 22 11
Gol Masuk 0.82 1.9
Gol Kemasukan 3.61 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.63
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 3.00 2.00

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

24.09.23 Africa Cup of Nations Women
South Sudan W vs Egypt W
0:4
20.09.23 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Egypt W vs South Sudan W
4:0

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

South Sudan W

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Egypt W

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

South Sudan W 15 / 100
Egypt W 66 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
South Sudan W Egypt W

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Egypt W Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Egypt W & Over 2.5
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Egypt W will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

South Sudan W 15%
Egypt W 57%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

South Sudan W will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Egypt W's early runs.

South Sudan W 13%
Egypt W 75%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Egypt W to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as South Sudan W tries to push forward.

South Sudan W 14%
Egypt W 71%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments will see Egypt W increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

South Sudan W 15%
Egypt W 67%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for South Sudan W's defense, opening up opportunities for Egypt W's forward line.

South Sudan W 13%
Egypt W 78%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Egypt W to manage the closing stages, while South Sudan W searches for late drama.

South Sudan W 16%
Egypt W 82%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

South Sudan W menyerang → ← menyerang Egypt W

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

South Sudan W have found the net in 29% of their last 28 matches.

Egypt W have conceded at least one goal in 66% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.00 goals per match.

South Sudan W remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Egypt W suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

16 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 46
0.50 Expected goals (xG) 1.63
3.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 2.00