Prediksi Olahraga

Inggris

Premier League Cup 2021/2022

Stoke City U23

Tips Kami

Ringkasan Peluang Gol Performa H2H Taktik Pemain Indeks Prediksi Aliran Laga Heatmap Risiko Akurasi Bandingkan

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Stoke City U23 is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Southend U23, backed by a win probability of 63%. Southend U23 averages 1.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded in recent matches. Stoke City U23 shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Southend U23, 2 wins for Stoke City U23, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.02.22 ended in a 1:5 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.00 for Southend U23 and 2.31 for Stoke City U23, suggesting the primary value lies in the Stoke City U23 double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

19%

Southend U23

18%

Seri

63%

Stoke City U23

Proyeksi hasil seri: 18% Unggulan: Stoke City U23

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

90% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan

Southend U23 mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Stoke City U23.
Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.00 vs 2.31 xG).
Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 64%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 89%

Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 85%

Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 64%

Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 38%

Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 19%

Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 55%

Southend U23 Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Stoke City U23 Tanpa Kebobolan 15%

Gol Babak Pertama 77%

Gol Babak Kedua 81%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik	Southend U23	Stoke City U23
Main	11	34
Menang	2	15
Seri	1	7
Kalah	8	12
Gol Masuk	1	1.53
Gol Kemasukan	2.27	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.13
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA)	2.50	1.00

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

14.02.22 Premier League Cup

Southend U23 vs Stoke City U23

Penguasaan: 45% - 50% Kartu: 2 - 2

1:5

22.11.21 Premier League Cup

Stoke City U23 vs Southend U23

Penguasaan: 59% - 43% Kartu: 2 - 2

3:0

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Southend U23

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang

Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Stoke City U23

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)

Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Southend U23 Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Unwin B.

1 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A

0 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 0.77

Rata-rata xA / laga 0.5

Stoke City U23 Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak James-Taylor D.

3 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak Goodwin W.

1 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 1.94

Rata-rata xA / laga 1.18

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Southend U23 19 / 100

Stoke City U23 60 / 100

Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

Southend U23 Stoke City U23

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Stoke City U23 Win (2)

Pilihan Kedua Stoke City U23 & Over 2.5

Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)

Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)

Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +72.7%

9.09

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Stoke City U23 will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Southend U23 21%

Stoke City U23 50%

15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

Southend U23 will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Stoke City U23's early runs.

Southend U23 18%

Stoke City U23 66%

30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Stoke City U23 to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Southend U23 tries to push forward.

Southend U23 19%

Stoke City U23 63%

45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments will see Stoke City U23 increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Southend U23 20%

Stoke City U23 60%

60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for Southend U23's defense, opening up opportunities for Stoke City U23's forward line.

Southend U23 17%

Stoke City U23 69%

75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Stoke City U23 to manage the closing stages, while Southend U23 searches for late drama.

Southend U23 22%

Stoke City U23 72%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Southend U23 menyerang → ← menyerang Stoke City U23

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Southend U23 have found the net in 73% of their last 11 matches.

Stoke City U23 have conceded at least one goal in 74% of their last 34 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.50 goals per match.

Southend U23 remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Stoke City U23 suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah

Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

7 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 52

1.00 Expected goals (xG) 2.13

2.50 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	West Brom U23	6	4	1	1	18:8	13
2	Arsenal U23	6	2	2	2	11:12	8
3	Bournemouth U23	6	2	2	2	8:9	8
4	Southampton U23	6	0	3	3	7:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough U23	6	3	3	13:10	9
2	QPR U23	6	3	3	15:14	9
3	Blackburn U23	6	3	3	16:16	9
4	Nottingham U23	6	3	3	13:17	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Derby U23	6	5	1	0	17:9	16
2	Charlton U23	6	3	1	2	14:6	10
3	Norwich U23	6	1	2	3	12:16	5
4	Reading U23	6	1	0	5	6:18	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Peterborough U23	6	3	1	2	13:8	10
2	Sheffield Utd U23	6	3	1	2	9:10	10
3	Everton U23	6	3	0	3	8:9	9
4	Burnley U23	6	2	0	4	8:11	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wigan U23	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Leeds U23	6	2	2	2	10:10	8
3	Sunderland U23	6	1	3	2	9:13	6
4	Mansfield U23	6	1	2	3	7:9	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	West Ham U23	6	4	1	1	11:5	13
2	Wolves U23	6	3	2	1	8:6	11
3	Exeter U23	6	1	2	3	9:12	5
4	Swansea U23	6	0	3	3	7:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield U23	6	5	1	0	17:3	16
2	Newcastle Utd U23	6	3	1	2	9:6	10
3	Watford U23	6	2	0	4	7:15	6
4	Birmingham U23	6	1	0	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fulham U23	6	5	1	0	14:4	16
2	Stoke City U23	6	3	0	3	15:11	9
3	Colchester U23	6	1	2	3	8:10	5
4	Southend U23	6	1	1	4	4:16	4