Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

St. Pauli II vs Schoningen

Jerman Jerman

Regionalliga North
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Regionalliga North encounter between St. Pauli II and Schoningen promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. St. Pauli II averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded in recent matches. Schoningen shows a form average of 1.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for St. Pauli II, 2 wins for Schoningen, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 15.03.26 ended in a 0:5 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.94 for St. Pauli II and 1.69 for Schoningen, suggesting the primary value lies in the Schoningen double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

31%
St. Pauli II
32%
Seri
37%
Schoningen
Proyeksi hasil seri: 32% Unggulan: Schoningen

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

71% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • St. Pauli II mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Schoningen.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.94 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 67%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 93%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 67%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 40%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 20%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 79%
St. Pauli II Tanpa Kebobolan 13%
Schoningen Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Gol Babak Pertama 84%
Gol Babak Kedua 88%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik St. Pauli II Schoningen
Main 27 29
Menang 5 6
Seri 11 7
Kalah 11 16
Gol Masuk 1.3 1.79
Gol Kemasukan 1.93 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.88 3.00

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

15.03.26 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Schoningen
0:5
13.09.25 Regionalliga North
Schoningen vs St. Pauli II
3:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

St. Pauli II

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Schoningen

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

St. Pauli II Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak N/A
0 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.68
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.44

Schoningen Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Touray O.
2 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Sanogo M.
2 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.36
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.83

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

St. Pauli II 31 / 100
Schoningen 35 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
St. Pauli II Schoningen

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Schoningen or Draw (X2)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

St. Pauli II 34%
Schoningen 30%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

St. Pauli II 29%
Schoningen 39%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

St. Pauli II 31%
Schoningen 37%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

St. Pauli II 33%
Schoningen 35%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

St. Pauli II 28%
Schoningen 41%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

St. Pauli II 36%
Schoningen 43%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

St. Pauli II menyerang → ← menyerang Schoningen

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

St. Pauli II have found the net in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Schoningen have conceded at least one goal in 97% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.50 goals per match.

St. Pauli II remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Schoningen suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

26 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 25
0.88 Expected goals (xG) 1.50
1.88 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Meppen342653103:3583
2Drochtersen / Assel34224883:4870
3VfB Oldenburg34216787:4569
4Jeddeloh34197881:5064
5Phonix Lubeck341681053:4356
6Hannover II341651363:4953
7Bremer3414101052:4152
8Emden341491164:5451
9Weiche Flensburg 08341471369:6349
10Hamburger II341381357:5047
11Lubeck341291354:6145
12Werder Bremen II3410101457:7140
13Hannoverscher SC341071749:8437
14Schoningen341042056:8434
15Eintracht Norderstedt34791851:7930
16St. Pauli II344131738:7225
17Lohne34582138:7823
18Altona34652344:9223