Prediksi Olahraga
Tarsus vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Turki
3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 Tarsus City Stadium 
Ringkasan Pertandingan
Karabuk Idmanyurdu is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Tarsus, backed by a win probability of 71%. Tarsus averages 0.7 goals scored and 3.0 conceded in recent matches. Karabuk Idmanyurdu shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Tarsus, 1 wins for Karabuk Idmanyurdu, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 27.04.24 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.10 for Tarsus and 0.99 for Karabuk Idmanyurdu, suggesting the primary value lies in the Karabuk Idmanyurdu double chance or over markets.
Peluang Kemenangan
Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang
Keyakinan Model
Skor indikator gabungan
- Tarsus mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Karabuk Idmanyurdu.
- Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.10 vs 0.99 xG).
- Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
- Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.
Peluang Gol
Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG
Analisis Performa Terakhir
Rata-rata per laga
| Metrik | Tarsus | Karabuk Idmanyurdu |
|---|---|---|
| Main | 30 | 32 |
| Menang | 2 | 14 |
| Seri | 4 | 6 |
| Kalah | 24 | 12 |
| Gol Masuk | 0.7 | 1.03 |
| Gol Kemasukan | 2.97 | 1.34 |
H2H
Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama
Profil Taktis Pertandingan
Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol
Tarsus
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga
Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan
Tarsus Bandingkan
Karabuk Idmanyurdu Bandingkan
Peringatan Pemain Absen
Indeks Momentum Sokapicks
Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)
Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan
Prediksi Mesin
Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama
Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)
Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar
Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan
Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit
Karabuk Idmanyurdu will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Tarsus will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Karabuk Idmanyurdu's early runs.
Expect Karabuk Idmanyurdu to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Tarsus tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Karabuk Idmanyurdu increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Tarsus's defense, opening up opportunities for Karabuk Idmanyurdu's forward line.
Expect Karabuk Idmanyurdu to manage the closing stages, while Tarsus searches for late drama.
Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan
Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan
Insight Pintar
Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis
Tarsus have found the net in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Karabuk Idmanyurdu have conceded at least one goal in 59% of their last 32 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.
Tarsus remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Karabuk Idmanyurdu suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Analisis Risiko
Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Kontrol Komparasi Tim
Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kepez Bld. | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 67:18 | 70 |
| 2 | Aliaga | 28 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 60:18 | 66 |
| 3 | Ayvalikgucu | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 40:25 | 52 |
| 4 | 52 Orduspor | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Inegol Kafkas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 37:30 | 47 |
| 6 | Edirnespor Genclik | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 45:28 | 44 |
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 40:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Kucukcekmece | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 41:31 | 38 |
| 9 | Karabuk Idmanyurdu | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 27:44 | 35 |
| 10 | Hopaspor | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 33:29 | 34 |
| 11 | Erciyes 38 | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 34:45 | 34 |
| 12 | Kirikkale FK | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 31:42 | 29 |
| 13 | Gumushanespor | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 14 | Arguvan | 28 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 21:57 | 13 |
| 15 | Tarsus | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 20:83 | 10 |