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Toluca vs Monterrey - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca
Min, 8 Nov 2026
VS
01.00 AM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Toluca host Monterrey in the Liga MX. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Toluca at 1.83 goals for, 1.24 against; Monterrey at 1.62 for, 1.48 against. Head-to-head, Toluca have won 3 to Monterrey's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on 3 Okt 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.56, favoring Toluca. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

22%
Toluca
28%
Seri
50%
Monterrey
Proyeksi hasil seri: 28% Unggulan: Monterrey

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

76% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Monterrey have managed 1.62 goals a game lately — Toluca are scoring more at 1.83.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Monterrey taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 37.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 17%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 75.8%
Toluca Tanpa Kebobolan 15%
Monterrey Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Toluca Monterrey
Main 29 29
Menang 13 13
Seri 6 5
Kalah 10 11
Gol Masuk 1.83 1.62
Gol Kemasukan 1.24 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

3 Okt 2026 Club Friendly
Monterrey vs Toluca
2:1
7 Sep 2026 Leagues Cup
Toluca vs Monterrey
2:0
11 Jan 2026 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Toluca
0:1
7 Des 2025 Liga MX
Toluca vs Monterrey
3:2
4 Des 2025 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Toluca
1:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Toluca 23 / 100
Monterrey 47 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Toluca Monterrey

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Monterrey Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Toluca scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Monterrey's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Toluca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Toluca VS Monterrey
2.13 Gol Dicetak 1.38
1.75 Gol Kebobolan 1.38
88% Atas 1.5 75%
63% Atas 2.5 50%
50% Atas 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Toluca

(Home)
24 Oct
Club Leon
1 : 1
Toluca
22 Oct
Toluca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
18 Oct
Toluca
1 : 1
Atletico San Luis
10 Oct
Tigres UANL
3 : 2
Toluca
03 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1
Toluca
Page 1 of 6

Monterrey

(Away)
25 Oct
Monterrey
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
22 Oct
Puebla
1 : 4
Monterrey
19 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1
Pachuca
11 Oct
Club America
1 : 1
Monterrey
03 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1
Toluca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 12 8 3 1 32:16 27
2 Guadalajara Chivas 14 7 5 2 21:12 26
3 Toluca 14 6 5 3 29:19 23
4 Cruz Azul 13 7 2 4 29:22 23
5 Club Leon 14 6 4 4 21:18 22
6 Atlas 13 6 3 4 21:23 21
7 Monterrey 13 6 2 5 23:18 20
8 Queretaro 12 6 2 4 16:15 20
9 Santos Laguna 13 6 1 6 19:16 19
10 Atletico San Luis 14 5 4 5 19:22 19
11 Club Tijuana 12 4 5 3 17:16 17
12 UNAM Pumas 14 4 5 5 20:23 17
13 Puebla 13 4 4 5 13:17 16
14 Tigres UANL 14 3 6 5 15:19 15
15 Atlante 14 3 5 6 14:20 14
16 Pachuca 13 3 4 6 20:18 13
17 Necaxa 14 2 4 8 16:27 10
18 Juarez 14 1 2 11 9:33 5
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)