Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Ulverstone vs South Hobart

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Westside Park
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

South Hobart is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Ulverstone, backed by a win probability of 57%. Ulverstone averages 3.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded in recent matches. South Hobart shows a form average of 3.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Ulverstone, 1 wins for South Hobart, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 18.04.26 ended in a 0:6 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.76 for Ulverstone and 3.63 for South Hobart, suggesting the primary value lies in the South Hobart double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

28%
Ulverstone
15%
Seri
57%
South Hobart
Proyeksi hasil seri: 15% Unggulan: South Hobart

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

83% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Ulverstone mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding South Hobart.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (0.76 vs 3.63 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 83%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 86%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 97%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 83%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 50%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 25%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 60%
Ulverstone Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
South Hobart Tanpa Kebobolan 19%
Gol Babak Pertama 87%
Gol Babak Kedua 92%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Ulverstone South Hobart
Main 29 33
Menang 11 21
Seri 1 5
Kalah 17 7
Gol Masuk 2.97 3.24
Gol Kemasukan 2.52 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 4.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 3.25 0.88

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

18.04.26 NPL Tasmania
Ulverstone vs South Hobart
0:6

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Ulverstone

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

South Hobart

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Ulverstone Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak N/A
0 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.48
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.32

South Hobart Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Williams X.
2 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Samuel D.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 3.64
Rata-rata xA / laga 2.22

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Ulverstone 27 / 100
South Hobart 55 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Ulverstone South Hobart

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama South Hobart Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua South Hobart & Over 2.5
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.30
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

South Hobart will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Ulverstone 31%
South Hobart 46%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

Ulverstone will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize South Hobart's early runs.

Ulverstone 27%
South Hobart 60%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect South Hobart to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Ulverstone tries to push forward.

Ulverstone 28%
South Hobart 57%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments will see South Hobart increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Ulverstone 29%
South Hobart 54%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for Ulverstone's defense, opening up opportunities for South Hobart's forward line.

Ulverstone 25%
South Hobart 63%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect South Hobart to manage the closing stages, while Ulverstone searches for late drama.

Ulverstone 32%
South Hobart 66%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Ulverstone menyerang → ← menyerang South Hobart

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Ulverstone have found the net in 76% of their last 29 matches.

South Hobart have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 33 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 6.00 goals per match.

Ulverstone remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

South Hobart suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

34 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 68
0.63 Expected goals (xG) 4.00
3.25 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.88