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Stadium Background

Union Comercio vs San Marcos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia, Tarapoto
Min, 19 Jul 2026
3 - 0
08.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Union Comercio host San Marcos in the Liga 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Union Comercio have averaged 1.38 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against San Marcos's 0.33 scored and 2.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Union Comercio slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 19 Jul 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 0.81) point toward Union Comercio. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

90%
Union Comercio
6%
Seri
4%
San Marcos
Proyeksi hasil seri: 6% Unggulan: Union Comercio

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

95% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Union Comercio have won more games recently than San Marcos.
  • Model gives Union Comercio a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Union Comercio have taken 4 of them.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 6.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 3%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 61%
Union Comercio Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
San Marcos Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Union Comercio San Marcos
Main 29 30
Menang 14 3
Seri 7 4
Kalah 8 23
Gol Masuk 1.38 0.33
Gol Kemasukan 0.83 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.81
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

19 Jul 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs San Marcos
3:0
27 Mar 2026 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Union Comercio
0:3
21 Sep 2025 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs San Marcos
5:0
16 Agu 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Union Comercio
1:4

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Union Comercio 85 / 100
San Marcos 10 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Union Comercio San Marcos

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Union Comercio Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

San Marcos let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: San Marcos registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Union Comercio's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tren Skor

Union Comercio VS San Marcos
1.25 Gol Dicetak 0
0.63 Gol Kebobolan 3
63% Atas 1.5 100%
38% Atas 2.5 100%
13% Atas 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Comercio

(Home)
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0
U. San Martin
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1
Union Comercio
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San Marcos

(Away)
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
U. San Martin
16 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
San Marcos
09 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
Carlos Mannucci
02 Aug
Pirata
3 : 0
San Marcos
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)