Prediksi Olahraga

Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 8

Ariesul Turda

Tips Kami

Ringkasan Peluang Gol Performa H2H Taktik Pemain Indeks Prediksi Aliran Laga Heatmap Risiko Akurasi Bandingkan

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Unirea Dej enters this Liga 3 - Seria 8 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 63%. Unirea Dej averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded in recent matches. Ariesul Turda shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 3.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Unirea Dej, 1 wins for Ariesul Turda, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.03.26 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.94 for Unirea Dej and 0.96 for Ariesul Turda, suggesting the primary value lies in the Unirea Dej double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

63%

Unirea Dej

15%

Seri

22%

Ariesul Turda

Proyeksi hasil seri: 15% Unggulan: Unirea Dej

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

89% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan

Unirea Dej mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Ariesul Turda.
Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.94 vs 0.96 xG).
Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 63%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 90%

Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 78%

Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 63%

Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 38%

Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 19%

Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 40%

Unirea Dej Tanpa Kebobolan 24%

Ariesul Turda Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Gol Babak Pertama 70%

Gol Babak Kedua 74%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik	Unirea Dej	Ariesul Turda
Main	28	30
Menang	6	3
Seri	5	2
Kalah	17	25
Gol Masuk	1.04	1.13
Gol Kemasukan	1.54	3.2
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.29
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA)	1.63	3.00

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

06.03.26 Liga 3 - Seria 8

Unirea Dej vs Ariesul Turda

Penguasaan: 42% - 50% Kartu: 0 - 1

3:0

11.10.25 Liga 3 - Seria 8

Ariesul Turda vs Unirea Dej

Penguasaan: 58% - 42% Kartu: 2 - 2

1:1

28.01.22 Club Friendly

Unirea Dej vs Ariesul Turda

Penguasaan: 49% - 52% Kartu: 2 - 2

3:0

26.03.21 Liga 3 - Seria 9

Ariesul Turda vs Unirea Dej

Penguasaan: 49% - 49% Kartu: 2 - 4

2:1

02.10.20 Liga 3 - Seria 9

Unirea Dej vs Ariesul Turda

Penguasaan: 46% - 47% Kartu: 3 - 1

3:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Unirea Dej

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang

Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Ariesul Turda

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang

Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Unirea Dej 62 / 100

Ariesul Turda 22 / 100

Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

Unirea Dej Ariesul Turda

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Unirea Dej Win (1)

Pilihan Kedua Unirea Dej & Over 2.5

Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)

Prediksi BTTS No (NG)

Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.82

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Unirea Dej is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Unirea Dej 69%

Ariesul Turda 18%

15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

Ariesul Turda will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Unirea Dej's attacks.

Unirea Dej 60%

Ariesul Turda 23%

30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Unirea Dej to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Unirea Dej 63%

Ariesul Turda 22%

45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Unirea Dej vary their attacking width.

Unirea Dej 66%

Ariesul Turda 21%

60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for Ariesul Turda, allowing Unirea Dej's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Unirea Dej 57%

Ariesul Turda 24%

75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect a final offensive push from Unirea Dej, while Ariesul Turda takes risks to salvage a result.

Unirea Dej 72%

Ariesul Turda 25%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Unirea Dej menyerang → ← menyerang Ariesul Turda

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Unirea Dej have found the net in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Ariesul Turda have conceded at least one goal in 97% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Unirea Dej remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Ariesul Turda suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah

Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

23 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 11

0.88 Expected goals (xG) 0.29

1.63 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Baia Mare	22	15	2	5	46:27	47
2	Unirea Tasnad	22	14	4	4	54:23	46
3	Sanatatea Cluj	22	13	7	2	36:13	46
4	SCM Zalau	22	13	5	4	36:18	44
5	Crisul Santandrei	22	12	5	5	39:25	41
6	Sighetu Marmatiei	22	10	7	5	36:22	37
7	Baile Felix	22	8	7	7	32:26	31
8	Viitorul Cluj	22	5	6	11	22:26	21
9	Unirea Dej	22	5	3	14	25:35	18
10	Bihorul Beius	22	4	6	12	22:39	18
11	Olimpia Satu Mare	22	5	2	15	21:64	17
12	Ariesul Turda	22	0	2	20	11:62	2