Prediksi Olahraga
Ringkasan Pertandingan
USV Jena W enters this 2. Bundesliga Women 2018/2019 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 65%. USV Jena W averages 1.0 goals scored and 2.8 conceded in recent matches. SGS Essen 2 W shows a form average of 0.7 goals scored and 3.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for USV Jena W, 0 wins for SGS Essen 2 W, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.04.19 ended in a 0:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.63 for USV Jena W and 2.63 for SGS Essen 2 W, suggesting the primary value lies in the USV Jena W double chance or over markets.
Peluang Kemenangan
Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang
Keyakinan Model
Skor indikator gabungan
- USV Jena W mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding SGS Essen 2 W.
- Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.63 vs 2.63 xG).
- Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
- Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 69%).
Peluang Gol
Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG
Analisis Performa Terakhir
Rata-rata per laga
| Metrik | USV Jena W | SGS Essen 2 W |
|---|---|---|
| Main | 31 | 28 |
| Menang | 7 | 2 |
| Seri | 4 | 0 |
| Kalah | 20 | 26 |
| Gol Masuk | 1.03 | 0.68 |
| Gol Kemasukan | 2.84 | 3.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.25 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) | 3.25 | 3.00 |
H2H
Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama
Profil Taktis Pertandingan
Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol
USV Jena W
SGS Essen 2 W
Indeks Momentum Sokapicks
Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)
Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan
Prediksi Mesin
Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama
Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)
Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar
Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan
Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit
USV Jena W is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
SGS Essen 2 W will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of USV Jena W's attacks.
Expect USV Jena W to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see USV Jena W vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for SGS Essen 2 W, allowing USV Jena W's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from USV Jena W, while SGS Essen 2 W takes risks to salvage a result.
Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan
Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan
Insight Pintar
Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis
USV Jena W have found the net in 58% of their last 31 matches.
SGS Essen 2 W have conceded at least one goal in 100% of their last 28 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.50 goals per match.
USV Jena W remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
SGS Essen 2 W suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Analisis Risiko
Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Kontrol Komparasi Tim
Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich II W | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 67:27 | 53 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg II W | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 50 |
| 3 | Koln W | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51:33 | 47 |
| 4 | USV Jena W | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:34 | 46 |
| 5 | Meppen W | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 63:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim II W | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:35 | 38 |
| 7 | Turbine Potsdam II W | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 56:46 | 37 |
| 8 | Saarbrucken W | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 55:43 | 36 |
| 9 | Gutersloh W | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 37:42 | 33 |
| 10 | 1. FFC Frankfurt II W | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 27:42 | 32 |
| 11 | Cloppenburg W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 37:49 | 30 |
| 12 | Hessen Wetzlar W | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 29:45 | 30 |
| 13 | Weinberg W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:59 | 30 |
| 14 | SGS Essen 2 W | 26 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 16:80 | 6 |