Prediksi Olahraga

Jerman

Oberliga Mittelrhein

Bergisch Gladbach

Tips Kami

Ringkasan Peluang Gol Performa H2H Taktik Pemain Indeks Prediksi Aliran Laga Heatmap Risiko Akurasi Bandingkan

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Oberliga Mittelrhein encounter between VfL Vichttal and Bergisch Gladbach promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. VfL Vichttal averages 2.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in recent matches. Bergisch Gladbach shows a form average of 2.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for VfL Vichttal, 2 wins for Bergisch Gladbach, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 26.04.26 ended in a 2:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.06 for VfL Vichttal and 2.69 for Bergisch Gladbach, suggesting the primary value lies in the VfL Vichttal double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

43%

VfL Vichttal

15%

Seri

42%

Bergisch Gladbach

Proyeksi hasil seri: 15% Unggulan: VfL Vichttal

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

69% / Sedang Keyakinan

VfL Vichttal mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Bergisch Gladbach.
Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (2.06 vs 2.69 xG).
Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 71%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%

Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 94%

Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 71%

Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 43%

Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 21%

Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 61%

VfL Vichttal Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Bergisch Gladbach Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Gol Babak Pertama 85%

Gol Babak Kedua 89%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik	VfL Vichttal	Bergisch Gladbach
Main	30	31
Menang	19	21
Seri	4	7
Kalah	7	3
Gol Masuk	2.7	2.87
Gol Kemasukan	1.4	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	3.63
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA)	1.75	1.50

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

26.04.26 Oberliga Mittelrhein

VfL Vichttal vs Bergisch Gladbach

Penguasaan: 45% - 52% Kartu: 3 - 3

2:1

26.10.25 Oberliga Mittelrhein

Bergisch Gladbach vs VfL Vichttal

Penguasaan: 50% - 47% Kartu: 1 - 3

2:0

16.03.25 Oberliga Mittelrhein

VfL Vichttal vs Bergisch Gladbach

Penguasaan: 44% - 58% Kartu: 2 - 4

1:3

01.09.24 Oberliga Mittelrhein

Bergisch Gladbach vs VfL Vichttal

Penguasaan: 45% - 58% Kartu: 1 - 0

0:2

18.02.24 Oberliga Mittelrhein

VfL Vichttal vs Bergisch Gladbach

Penguasaan: 58% - 54% Kartu: 1 - 1

3:0

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

VfL Vichttal

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)

Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Bergisch Gladbach

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)

Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang

Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

VfL Vichttal 41 / 100

Bergisch Gladbach 40 / 100

Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

VfL Vichttal Bergisch Gladbach

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: VfL Vichttal or Draw (1X)

Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals

Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)

Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)

Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

VfL Vichttal 47%

Bergisch Gladbach 34%

15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

VfL Vichttal 41%

Bergisch Gladbach 44%

30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

VfL Vichttal 43%

Bergisch Gladbach 42%

45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

VfL Vichttal 45%

Bergisch Gladbach 40%

60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

VfL Vichttal 39%

Bergisch Gladbach 46%

75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

VfL Vichttal 49%

Bergisch Gladbach 48%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

VfL Vichttal menyerang → ← menyerang Bergisch Gladbach

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

VfL Vichttal have found the net in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Bergisch Gladbach have conceded at least one goal in 68% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.80 goals per match.

VfL Vichttal remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Bergisch Gladbach suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang

Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

61 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 70

2.63 Expected goals (xG) 3.63

1.75 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bergisch Gladbach	30	20	7	3	85:28	67
2	Eintracht Hohkeppel	30	20	4	6	86:36	64
3	Siegburger	30	19	5	6	75:34	62
4	Merten	30	18	6	6	80:28	60
5	VfL Vichttal	30	18	5	7	80:43	59
6	FC Wegberg-Beeck	30	15	6	9	62:35	51
7	Frechen	30	16	2	12	66:54	50
8	Bornheim	30	14	4	12	65:56	46
9	Konigsdorf	30	14	4	12	53:54	46
10	Fortuna Koln II	30	13	6	11	62:47	45
11	1. FC Duren	30	11	5	14	49:59	38
12	Hennef	30	11	2	17	45:66	35
13	SpVg Porz 1919	30	7	4	19	58:99	25
14	Teutonia Weiden	30	4	4	22	25:104	16
15	Sportfreunde Duren	30	4	2	24	41:103	14
16	Pesch	30	2	2	26	26:112	8