Prediksi Olahraga

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Vitoria Guimaraes vs Braga

Portugal Portugal

League Cup Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This League Cup encounter between Vitoria Guimaraes and Braga promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Vitoria Guimaraes averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in recent matches. Braga shows a form average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Vitoria Guimaraes, 2 wins for Braga, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 21.02.26 ended in a 3:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.04 for Vitoria Guimaraes and 1.46 for Braga, suggesting the primary value lies in the Braga double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

33%
Vitoria Guimaraes
26%
Seri
41%
Braga
Proyeksi hasil seri: 26% Unggulan: Braga

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

72% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Vitoria Guimaraes mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Braga.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.04 vs 1.46 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 59%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 73%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 59%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 35%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 18%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 53%
Vitoria Guimaraes Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Braga Tanpa Kebobolan 14%
Gol Babak Pertama 66%
Gol Babak Kedua 69%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Vitoria Guimaraes Braga
Main 29 32
Menang 13 17
Seri 4 8
Kalah 12 7
Gol Masuk 1.41 1.88
Gol Kemasukan 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.63
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.29 1.38

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

21.02.26 Liga Portugal
Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes
3:2
10.01.26 League Cup
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Braga
2:1
20.09.25 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Braga
1:1
16.02.25 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Braga
0:0
31.10.24 League Cup
Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes
2:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Vitoria Guimaraes

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Braga

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Vitoria Guimaraes Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Ndoye A.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.55
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.35

Braga Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Dorgeles M.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.48
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.91

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes 33 / 100
Braga 40 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Vitoria Guimaraes Braga

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Braga or Draw (X2)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Vitoria Guimaraes 36%
Braga 33%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Vitoria Guimaraes 31%
Braga 43%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Vitoria Guimaraes 33%
Braga 41%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Vitoria Guimaraes 35%
Braga 39%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Vitoria Guimaraes 30%
Braga 45%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Vitoria Guimaraes 38%
Braga 47%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Vitoria Guimaraes menyerang → ← menyerang Braga

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Vitoria Guimaraes have found the net in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Braga have conceded at least one goal in 59% of their last 32 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.

Vitoria Guimaraes remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Braga suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

43 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 59
0.71 Expected goals (xG) 1.63
1.29 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.38