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Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

A-League Sky Stadium, Wellington
Min, 18 Okt 2026
VS
02.00 AM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Wellington Phoenix host Melbourne Victory in the A-League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Melbourne Victory have shipped 1.04 goals a game lately, while Wellington Phoenix have conceded 1.77 and scored 1.33. Head-to-head, Wellington Phoenix have won 1 to Melbourne Victory's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on 5 Apr 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.21 - 1.67) back Melbourne Victory to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

27%
Wellington Phoenix
33%
Seri
40%
Melbourne Victory
Proyeksi hasil seri: 33% Unggulan: Melbourne Victory

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

70% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Form's been kind to Melbourne Victory lately — more wins on the board than Wellington Phoenix.
  • Win probability leans Melbourne Victory's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular A-League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Melbourne Victory here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 73.8%
Wellington Phoenix Tanpa Kebobolan 13%
Melbourne Victory Tanpa Kebobolan 12%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Wellington Phoenix Melbourne Victory
Main 30 28
Menang 12 14
Seri 6 7
Kalah 12 7
Gol Masuk 1.33 1.79
Gol Kemasukan 1.77 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.67
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

5 Apr 2026 A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
0:1
6 Feb 2026 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory
2:3
29 Des 2025 A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
5:1
12 Apr 2025 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory
2:3
14 Feb 2025 A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
1:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Wellington Phoenix 27 / 100
Melbourne Victory 38 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Wellington Phoenix Melbourne Victory

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Melbourne Victory Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:6
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Wellington Phoenix scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Melbourne Victory let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Wellington Phoenix remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

Wellington Phoenix VS Melbourne Victory
1.17 Gol Dicetak 2
1.33 Gol Kebobolan 1.25
83% Atas 1.5 75%
50% Atas 2.5 63%
17% Atas 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Phoenix

(Home)
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0
Wellington Phoenix
18 Apr
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 1
Western Sydney Wanderers
12 Apr
Melbourne City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix
05 Apr
Melbourne Victory
0 : 1
Wellington Phoenix
21 Mar
Brisbane Roar
1 : 2
Wellington Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

Melbourne Victory

(Away)
16 Sept
Viettel
1 : 1
Melbourne Victory
09 Sept
Sydney FC
0 : 2
Melbourne Victory
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1
Melbourne Victory
08 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 2
Melbourne Victory
26 Jul
Kingborough Lions
0 : 4
Melbourne Victory
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Central Coast 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Newcastle Jets 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Perth Glory 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Brisbane Roar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Sydney FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Wellington Phoenix 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Melbourne Victory 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Melbourne City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Western Sydney Wanderers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Macarthur FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Auckland FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)
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