Prediksi Olahraga
Ringkasan Pertandingan
Willy Serrato play Juan Aurich in the Segunda Division 2018. Juan Aurich are favorites here. Recently, Willy Serrato averaged 0.8 goals scored and 4.03 conceded. Juan Aurich averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Willy Serrato won 0, Juan Aurich won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on 22 Jul 2018 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Willy Serrato and 0.93 for Juan Aurich. This points to a Juan Aurich double chance or over markets.
Peluang Kemenangan
Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang
Keyakinan Model
Skor indikator gabungan
- Willy Serrato mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Juan Aurich.
- Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.35 vs 0.93 xG).
- Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
- Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 73%).
Peluang Gol
Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG
Analisis Performa Terakhir
Rata-rata per laga
| Metrik | Willy Serrato | Juan Aurich |
|---|---|---|
| Main | 30 | 44 |
| Menang | 2 | 15 |
| Seri | 4 | 8 |
| Kalah | 24 | 21 |
| Gol Masuk | 0.8 | 1.18 |
| Gol Kemasukan | 4.03 | 1.52 |
H2H
Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama
Indeks Momentum Sokapicks
Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)
Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan
Prediksi Mesin
Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama
Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)
Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar
Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan
Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan
Insight Pintar
Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis
Willy Serrato scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Juan Aurich let in goals in 72% of their last 43 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Willy Serrato went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.
Juan Aurich lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Analisis Risiko
Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Kontrol Komparasi Tim
Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cesar Vallejo | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 55:19 | 62 |
| 2 | Carlos Mannucci | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 66:30 | 55 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 63:30 | 55 |
| 4 | Union Huaral | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:39 | 48 |
| 5 | Hualgayoc | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 6 | Juan Aurich | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51:27 | 47 |
| 7 | Alianza Atl. | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 48:37 | 47 |
| 8 | Atletico Grau | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 58:42 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Coopsol | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 46:32 | 37 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:36 | 37 |
| 11 | Los Caimanes | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 38:57 | 27 |
| 12 | Sport Victoria | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:54 | 25 |
| 13 | Sport Loreto | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 38:68 | 24 |
| 14 | Alfredo Salinas | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 25:66 | 21 |
| 15 | Willy Serrato | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 23:115 | 10 |