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Zambia vs Burundi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
Rab, 11 Nov 2026
VS
05.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations. Little to choose between these two on current form. Burundi have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Zambia have conceded 1.57 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, Zambia have won 2 to Burundi's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on 18 Nov 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.13, favoring Zambia. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

4%
Zambia
6%
Seri
90%
Burundi
Proyeksi hasil seri: 6% Unggulan: Burundi

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

95% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Burundi haven't matched Zambia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Burundi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Zambia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zambia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 31.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 14%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 60.6%
Zambia Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Burundi Tanpa Kebobolan 17%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Zambia Burundi
Main 28 29
Menang 10 8
Seri 4 5
Kalah 14 16
Gol Masuk 1.18 1.03
Gol Kemasukan 1.57 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

18 Nov 2025 Friendly International
Burundi vs Zambia
0:0
8 Des 2013 CECAFA Championship
Zambia vs Burundi
1:0
1 Des 2013 CECAFA Championship
Zambia vs Burundi
1:0
30 Nov 2010 CECAFA Championship
Zambia vs Burundi
0:0
4 Jan 2009 Friendly International
Burundi vs Zambia
1:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Zambia 10 / 100
Burundi 84 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Zambia Burundi

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Burundi Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Zambia scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Burundi let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Solid form: Zambia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

Zambia VS Burundi
0.63 Gol Dicetak 1
1.25 Gol Kebobolan 1.13
50% Atas 1.5 50%
25% Atas 2.5 38%
25% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia

(Home)
29 Sept
Zambia
2 : 0
Togo
25 Sept
Algeria
3 : 1
Zambia
31 Mar
Argentina
5 : 0
Zambia
29 Dec
Zambia
0 : 3
Morocco
26 Dec
Zambia
0 : 0
Comoros
Page 1 of 6

Burundi

(Away)
29 Sept
Burundi
2 : 2
Algeria
25 Sept
Togo
1 : 0
Burundi
26 May
Morocco
5 : 0
Burundi
31 Mar
Burundi
4 : 0
Chad
27 Mar
Chad
0 : 4
Burundi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)