Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
AA Portuguesa W enters this Sul-Matogrossense Women 2024 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 63%. AA Portuguesa W averages 5.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in recent matches. CEFAC W shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for AA Portuguesa W, 1 wins for CEFAC W, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.12.25 ended in a 0:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.81 for AA Portuguesa W and 1.56 for CEFAC W, suggesting the primary value lies in the AA Portuguesa W double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- AA Portuguesa W har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med CEFAC W.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (2.81 vs 1.56 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 63%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | AA Portuguesa W | CEFAC W |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 12 | 11 |
| Seire | 8 | 2 |
| Uavgjort | 1 | 2 |
| Tap | 3 | 7 |
| Mål Scoret | 5 | 0.91 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.25 | 2.64 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 3.00 | 1.25 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.88 | 2.63 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
AA Portuguesa W
CEFAC W
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
AA Portuguesa W is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
CEFAC W will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of AA Portuguesa W's attacks.
Expect AA Portuguesa W to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see AA Portuguesa W vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for CEFAC W, allowing AA Portuguesa W's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from AA Portuguesa W, while CEFAC W takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
AA Portuguesa W have found the net in 75% of their last 12 matches.
CEFAC W have conceded at least one goal in 91% of their last 11 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.25 goals per match.
AA Portuguesa W remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.
CEFAC W suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Operario MS W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24:0 | 12 |
| 2 | CEFAC W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:12 | 4 |
| 3 | AA Portuguesa W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:15 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corumbaense W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Aquidauanense W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Seinter W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comercial MS W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Costa Rica W | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Sao Gabriel MS W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:19 | 0 |