Sport Picks
Aarhus vs Sabah Baku
Europe
UEFA Champions League New Vejlby Stadium, Aarhus 
Kampsammendrag
A one-off knockout match in the Champions League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Aarhus at 2.63 goals for, 1.38 against; Sabah Baku at 1.5 for, 1.38 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (2.00 - 1.44) back Sabah Baku to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
42%
20%
38%
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Aarhus
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
67%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Aarhus haven't matched Sabah Baku's recent run of results.
- Aarhus are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Sabah Baku arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 100%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 78.2%
Aarhus Rent bur 16%
Sabah Baku Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Aarhus | Sabah Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 29 |
| Seire | 15 | 20 |
| Uavgjort | 9 | 6 |
| Tap | 4 | 3 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.63 | 1.5 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.63 | 1.50 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Aarhus 41 / 100
Sabah Baku 36 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Aarhus Sabah Baku
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Aarhus scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
Sabah Baku has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Aarhus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Sabah Baku lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Aarhus VS Sabah Baku
2.63 Mål scoret 1.5
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Aarhus
(Home) 29 Jul
Lech Poznan
1 : 5 Aarhus
25 Jul
Aarhus
1 : 1 Brondby
21 Jul
Aarhus
1 : 4 Lech Poznan
15 Jul
Aarhus
2 : 0 Horsens
11 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1 Aarhus
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Aarhus
1 : 1 Brondby
21 Jul
Aarhus
1 : 4 Lech Poznan
15 Jul
Aarhus
2 : 0 Horsens
05 Jul
Aarhus
4 : 0 Motherwell
27 Jun
Aarhus
1 : 1 Viborg
Page 1 of 4
Sabah Baku
(Away) 28 Jul
KuPS
0 : 2 Sabah Baku
21 Jul
Sabah Baku
1 : 0 KuPS
14 Jul
TNS
1 : 2 Sabah Baku
07 Jul
Sabah Baku
2 : 0 TNS
02 Jul
Polissya Zhytomyr
4 : 1 Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
KuPS
0 : 2 Sabah Baku
14 Jul
TNS
1 : 2 Sabah Baku
02 Jul
Polissya Zhytomyr
4 : 1 Sabah Baku
28 Jun
Ferencvaros
1 : 1 Sabah Baku
24 Jun
Univ. Craiova
1 : 1 Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Klaksvik4
Bissen2
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Drita3
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps4
Inter Escaldes2
Flora4
Iberia 19995
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia5
ML Vitebsk1
Univ. Craiova5
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty4
Sutjeska1
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Sabah Baku4
TNS1
Vardar3
KuPS4
Ararat-Armenia4
Riga FC3
Floriana3
Shamrock Rovers5
Petrocub Hincesti2
KF Egnatia7
TBD-
Celje-
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Gyor2
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Tre Fiori1
Larne3
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Thun3
Din. Zagreb4
Klaksvik0
FK Kauno Zalgiris1
Mjallby3
Lincoln Red Imps0
Iberia 19991
Slovan Bratislava3
Levski Sofia3
Univ. Craiova2
Omonia1
Kairat Almaty2
Aarhus6
Lech Poznan5
Sabah Baku3
KuPS0
Ararat-Armenia3
Shamrock Rovers2
KF Egnatia5
Celje6
Vikingur Reykjavik2
H. Beer Sheva3
Larne0
Crvena zvezda9
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce2
Gornik Zabrze1
Sturm Graz6
Hearts0
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
Din. Zagreb-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Mjallby-
Slovan Bratislava-
Levski Sofia-
Kairat Almaty-
Aarhus-
Sabah Baku-
Ararat-Armenia-
Celje-
H. Beer Sheva-
Crvena zvezda-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce-
Sturm Graz-
Sparta Prague-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
