Sport Picks
Aberystwyth vs Pontardawe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FA Cup 2023/2024 Park Avenue, Aberystwyth 
Kampsammendrag
Aberystwyth in this FA Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
90%
6%
4%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Aberystwyth
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Aberystwyth have won more games recently than Pontardawe.
- Win probability leans Aberystwyth's way, sitting at 90%.
- Aberystwyth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Aberystwyth, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 63%
Over 4.5 Mål 28%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Aberystwyth Rent bur 18%
Pontardawe Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Aberystwyth | Pontardawe |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 29 |
| Seire | 14 | 8 |
| Uavgjort | 4 | 6 |
| Tap | 11 | 15 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.59 | 1.52 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.31 | 2.31 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.44 | 1.31 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
28. aug. 2026 Cymru South
Aberystwyth vs Pontardawe
1:0
14. okt. 2023 FAW Welsh Cup
Aberystwyth vs Pontardawe
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Aberystwyth 85 / 100
Pontardawe 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Aberystwyth Pontardawe
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Aberystwyth Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Pontardawe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Aberystwyth remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Aberystwyth scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Måltrender
Aberystwyth VS Pontardawe
2.5 Mål scoret 1.38
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Aberystwyth
(Home) 03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3 Aberystwyth
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0 Pure Swansea
12 Sept
Caerphilly
2 : 3 Aberystwyth
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0 Llanelli
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0 Pontardawe
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0 Pure Swansea
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0 Llanelli
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0 Pontardawe
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
08 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 2 Treowen
Page 1 of 4
Pontardawe
(Away) 03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3 Pontardawe
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1 Treowen
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0 Pontardawe
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0 Pontardawe
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0 Pontardawe
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3 Pontardawe
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0 Pontardawe
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0 Pontardawe
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0 Pontardawe
07 Aug
Pontypridd United
3 : 2 Pontardawe
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Penrhyncoch 2
Chirk AAA FC 4
Porthmadog 3
Glantraeth FC 0
Newport City 0
Abergavenny Town 2
Cardiff Airport 3
Cefn Fforest 1
Rhyl 1
Menai Bridge Tigers 2
Tregaron Turfs 2
Llanuwchllyn 10
Corwen 0
Bow Street 4
TBD -
Buckley -
Penparcau FC 0
Cefn Albion 1
Holyhead 0
Bangor 1876 4
Cerrigydrudion 2
Denbigh 4
TBD -
Flint Town -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
St. Asaph 1
Llandudno Junction 0
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Cardiff Corries 2
Caerau Ely 3
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Llanidloes Town 5
Builth 4
Radnor Valley 0
Gresford 4
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontardawe -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
NFA 0
Flint Mountain 3
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Canton 3
Sully Sports 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Penydarren 2
South Gower AFC 3
Rockspur 4
Afan United 2
Chepstow Town 7
Pill 0
Abercarn United 4
St Albans 1
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Baglan Dragons 5
Cwmaman Institute 1
Goytre Utd 1
Trefelin 3
Ammanford Town 1
Taffs Well 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Aber Valley 2
Cwmbran Town 3
Mochdre Sports 0
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Mold Alexandra 13
Montgomery 1
Pwllheli 1
Felinheli 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
Llanrwst United 2
Conwy Borough 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
Treharris Athletic 1
Porthcawl Town 2
Brickfield Rangers 3
Caersws FC 1
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
Penycae FC 1
Rhos Aelwyd 4
Aberfan 2
Pontyclun FC 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Llantwit Major -
Cwmbran Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Mumbles Rangers 1
Evans Williams 2
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Abertillery Bluebirds 2
Caerphilly 1
Ruthin Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Trethomas Bluebirds 4
Ely Rangers 1
Llantwit Fardre 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 4
1/32-finals
Chirk AAA FC 1
Porthmadog 2
Abergavenny Town 1
Cardiff Airport 3
Menai Bridge Tigers 0
Llanuwchllyn 2
Bow Street 2
Buckley 3
Cefn Albion 1
Bangor 1876 7
Denbigh 0
Flint Town 3
Connahs Q. 4
Caernarfon 1
St. Asaph 0
Prestatyn 1
Caerau Ely 4
Afan Lido 0
Llanidloes Town 1
Gresford 3
Aberystwyth 2
Pontardawe 1
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 0
Flint Mountain 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Canton 2
Cambrian United 1
South Gower AFC 1
Rockspur 0
Chepstow Town 4
Abercarn United 0
Haverfordwest 1
Baglan Dragons 0
Trefelin 2
Ammanford Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Cwmbran Town 0
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Mold Alexandra 3
Felinheli 0
Newtown 6
Colwyn Bay 6
Llanrwst United 2
Barry Town 6
Porthcawl Town 0
Brickfield Rangers 2
Guilsfield 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Rhos Aelwyd 0
Aberfan 0
Briton Ferry 3
Llanelli 4
Llantwit Major 0
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 2
Evans Williams 0
Pontypridd United -
Abertillery Bluebirds -
Ruthin Town 0
TNS 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 5
Cardiff Airport 1
Llanuwchllyn 1
Buckley 2
Bangor 1876 1
Flint Town 2
Connahs Q. 8
Prestatyn 0
Caerau Ely 4
Gresford 3
Aberystwyth 0
Bala 1
Flint Mountain 2
Canton 1
South Gower AFC 3
Chepstow Town 2
Haverfordwest 2
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Newtown 1
Colwyn Bay 2
Barry Town 1
Guilsfield 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Briton Ferry 2
Llanelli 4
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Abertillery Bluebirds 2
TNS 7
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 0
Buckley 2
Flint Town 0
Connahs Q. 3
Caerau Ely 1
Bala 4
Flint Mountain 2
South Gower AFC 1
Haverfordwest 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Colwyn Bay 2
Barry Town 0
Briton Ferry 1
Llanelli 0
Carmarthen Town 0
TNS 3
Quarter-finals
Buckley 1
Connahs Q. 4
Bala 3
Flint Mountain 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Briton Ferry 1
TNS 5
Semi-finals
Connahs Q. 1
Bala 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 6
Final
Connahs Q. 2
TNS 1
