Sport Picks
Achilles 29 W vs SBV Excelsior W
Nederland
Eredivisie Women 2018/2019 
Kampsammendrag
SBV Excelsior W is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Achilles 29 W, backed by a win probability of 64%. Achilles 29 W averages 0.9 goals scored and 4.6 conceded in recent matches. SBV Excelsior W shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Achilles 29 W, 3 wins for SBV Excelsior W, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 03.05.19 ended in a 5:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.42 for Achilles 29 W and 1.30 for SBV Excelsior W, suggesting the primary value lies in the SBV Excelsior W double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Achilles 29 W har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med SBV Excelsior W.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.42 vs 1.30 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 71%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Achilles 29 W | SBV Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 37 |
| Seire | 3 | 10 |
| Uavgjort | 2 | 5 |
| Tap | 25 | 22 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.87 | 1.46 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 4.63 | 1.84 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Achilles 29 W
SBV Excelsior W
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Achilles 29 W Sammenlign
SBV Excelsior W Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
SBV Excelsior W will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Achilles 29 W will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize SBV Excelsior W's early runs.
Expect SBV Excelsior W to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Achilles 29 W tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see SBV Excelsior W increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Achilles 29 W's defense, opening up opportunities for SBV Excelsior W's forward line.
Expect SBV Excelsior W to manage the closing stages, while Achilles 29 W searches for late drama.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Achilles 29 W have found the net in 57% of their last 30 matches.
SBV Excelsior W have conceded at least one goal in 89% of their last 37 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.
Achilles 29 W remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
SBV Excelsior W suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning