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AFC Emley vs Gainsborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
lør. 10. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

AFC Emley host Gainsborough in the NPL Premier Division. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. AFC Emley have averaged 0.89 scored and 1.85 conceded recently, against Gainsborough's 1.45 scored and 1.41 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 2.13, favoring Gainsborough. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

4%
AFC Emley
6%
Uavgjort
90%
Gainsborough
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Gainsborough

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • AFC Emley haven't matched Gainsborough's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gainsborough a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 50%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 70.2%
AFC Emley Rent bur 10%
Gainsborough Rent bur 13%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk AFC Emley Gainsborough
Kamper Spilt 27 29
Seire 6 10
Uavgjort 8 7
Tap 13 12
Mål Scoret 0.89 1.45
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.85 1.41
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.13 2.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

AFC Emley 10 / 100
Gainsborough 84 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
AFC Emley Gainsborough

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Gainsborough Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Gainsborough let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

AFC Emley's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Solid form: AFC Emley remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Gainsborough has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

AFC Emley VS Gainsborough
0.75 Mål scoret 1.38
2.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Emley

(Home)
29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3
Workington
26 Sept
Bootle
5 : 0
AFC Emley
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4
Spennymoor
12 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 0
AFC Emley
09 Sept
Bishop Auckland
0 : 2
AFC Emley
Page 1 of 6

Gainsborough

(Away)
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3
Gainsborough
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0
Leamington
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1
Gainsborough
12 Sept
Gainsborough
0 : 2
Avro
05 Sept
Sherwood Colliery
2 : 4
Gainsborough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 10 7 2 1 25:6 23
2 Avro 9 7 1 1 28:16 22
3 Redcar Athletic 10 6 4 0 19:7 22
4 Guiseley 10 6 1 3 22:11 19
5 Workington 10 6 1 3 20:16 19
6 Warrington Town 9 5 2 2 18:14 17
7 Bury FC 9 5 1 3 19:8 16
8 Curzon Ashton 9 5 1 3 18:10 16
9 Warrington Rylands 10 5 1 4 13:13 16
10 Alfreton 10 5 0 5 16:10 15
11 Gainsborough 9 4 1 4 14:12 13
12 Lancaster 10 4 1 5 11:18 13
13 Whitby 10 4 0 6 15:26 12
14 Ashton United 9 3 2 4 10:9 11
15 Hyde 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
16 AFC Emley 10 2 4 4 9:18 10
17 Leek Town 10 2 3 5 19:20 9
18 Bamber Bridge 10 2 3 5 14:27 9
19 Stockton 10 2 2 6 13:20 8
20 Ilkeston 10 2 1 7 6:22 7
21 Quorn 9 1 3 5 12:23 6
22 United of Manchester 9 1 2 6 12:19 5
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)