Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC Wimbledon vs Newport

England England

EFL Cup The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
lør. 8. aug. 2026
2 - 1
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

16'
Sweeney D.
64'
Hippolyte M.
66'
Bytte
Nelson Z. Inn: Maycock C.
Ut: Nelson Z.

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
AFC Wimbledon
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Newport
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: AFC Wimbledon

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Newport have won more games recently than AFC Wimbledon.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on AFC Wimbledon taking it.
  • Newport arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Newport, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
AFC Wimbledon Rent bur 14%
Newport Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk AFC Wimbledon Newport
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 9 10
Uavgjort 5 4
Tap 16 16
Mål Scoret 1.1 1.07
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.63 1.77
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 1.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

8. aug. 2026 EFL Cup
AFC Wimbledon vs Newport
2:1
2. jan. 2025 League Two
Newport vs AFC Wimbledon
1:2
3. des. 2024 League Two
AFC Wimbledon vs Newport
2:2
16. mars 2024 League Two
AFC Wimbledon vs Newport
0:2
2. sep. 2023 League Two
Newport vs AFC Wimbledon
2:2

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

AFC Wimbledon Sammenlign

Toppscorer Maycock C.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.96
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63

Newport Sammenlign

Toppscorer Bamba Y.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.48
Snitt xA / kamp 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

AFC Wimbledon 84 / 100
Newport 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
AFC Wimbledon Newport

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips WIM Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Newport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

AFC Wimbledon scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: AFC Wimbledon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

AFC Wimbledon VS Newport
1.13 Mål scoret 2
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Wimbledon

(Home)
08 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 1
Newport
01 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 3
QPR
28 Jul
Wealdstone
1 : 0
AFC Wimbledon
25 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0
Charlton
22 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0
Norwich
Page 1 of 6

Newport

(Away)
08 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 1
Newport
04 Aug
Newport
1 : 4
AS Roma
01 Aug
Yeovil
1 : 2
Newport
28 Jul
Newport
0 : 4
Reading
25 Jul
Bath City
2 : 2
Newport
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Mansfield -
Sheffield Utd -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Plymouth -
Exeter -
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
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