Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

38' Event
Vale J.
Assist: Jacobs M.
50' Event
Stevens M.
51'
Bytte
Lewis J. Inn: Ogundere I.
Ut: Lewis J.

Kampsammendrag

This match ends 1-2, with Northampton advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
AFC Wimbledon
40%
Uavgjort
29%
Northampton
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and AFC Wimbledon come out ahead of Northampton on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • AFC Wimbledon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Northampton, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 38%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.2%
AFC Wimbledon Rent bur 19%
Northampton Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk AFC Wimbledon Northampton
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 10 4
Uavgjort 5 5
Tap 14 19
Mål Scoret 1.24 0.93
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.62 1.86
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.44 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

8. mars 2026 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton
1:0
10. feb. 2026 EFL Trophy
AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton
1:2
19. des. 2025 League One
Northampton vs AFC Wimbledon
3:1
14. feb. 2023 League Two
Northampton vs AFC Wimbledon
0:0
13. sep. 2022 League Two
AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton
0:2

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

AFC Wimbledon Sammenlign

Toppscorer Stevens M.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.11
Snitt xA / kamp 0.72

Northampton Sammenlign

Toppscorer Vale J.
1 Mål
Assister Eaves T.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.14
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

AFC Wimbledon 32 / 100
Northampton 28 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
AFC Wimbledon Northampton

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Northampton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

AFC Wimbledon scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: AFC Wimbledon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

AFC Wimbledon VS Northampton
1 Mål scoret 1.25
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Wimbledon

(Home)
08 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 1
Newport
01 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 3
QPR
28 Jul
Wealdstone
1 : 0
AFC Wimbledon
25 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0
Charlton
22 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0
Norwich
Page 1 of 6

Northampton

(Away)
08 Aug
Leicester
1 : 0
Northampton
01 Aug
Solihull Moors
2 : 4
Northampton
28 Jul
Cambridge Utd
0 : 0
Northampton
22 Jul
Southend
1 : 3
Northampton
18 Jul
Northampton
0 : 0
Coventry
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3