Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Afghanistan U19 vs Palestine U19

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U19 2016
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Palestine U19 is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Afghanistan U19, backed by a win probability of 62%. Afghanistan U19 averages 0.8 goals scored and 2.1 conceded in recent matches. Palestine U19 shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Afghanistan U19, 1 wins for Palestine U19, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 04.10.15 ended in a 0:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.50 for Afghanistan U19 and 1.69 for Palestine U19, suggesting the primary value lies in the Palestine U19 double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

19%
Afghanistan U19
19%
Uavgjort
62%
Palestine U19
Uavgjort-prognose: 19% Favoritt: Palestine U19

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

90% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Afghanistan U19 har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Palestine U19.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.50 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 52%
Over 3.5 Mål 31%
Over 4.5 Mål 16%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 39%
Afghanistan U19 Rent bur 13%
Palestine U19 Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 74%
Mål 2. omgang 78%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Afghanistan U19 Palestine U19
Kamper Spilt 16 16
Seire 2 6
Uavgjort 3 3
Tap 11 7
Mål Scoret 0.75 1.38
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.13 1.81
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.63 1.88
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.50 2.38

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

04.10.15 AFC Championship U19
Afghanistan U19 vs Palestine U19
0:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Afghanistan U19

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Palestine U19

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Afghanistan U19 20 / 100
Palestine U19 58 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Afghanistan U19 Palestine U19

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Palestine U19 Win (2)
Sekundærtips Palestine U19 & Over 2.5
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Palestine U19 will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Afghanistan U19 21%
Palestine U19 50%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Afghanistan U19 will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Palestine U19's early runs.

Afghanistan U19 18%
Palestine U19 65%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Palestine U19 to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Afghanistan U19 tries to push forward.

Afghanistan U19 19%
Palestine U19 62%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments will see Palestine U19 increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Afghanistan U19 20%
Palestine U19 59%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Afghanistan U19's defense, opening up opportunities for Palestine U19's forward line.

Afghanistan U19 17%
Palestine U19 68%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect Palestine U19 to manage the closing stages, while Afghanistan U19 searches for late drama.

Afghanistan U19 22%
Palestine U19 71%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Afghanistan U19 angriper → ← angriper Palestine U19

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Afghanistan U19 have found the net in 44% of their last 16 matches.

Palestine U19 have conceded at least one goal in 75% of their last 16 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.

Afghanistan U19 remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Palestine U19 suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

9 Poeng siste 5 21
0.63 Forventede mål (xG) 1.88
1.50 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uzbekistan U19330014:09
2Bangladesh U1931113:54
3Sri Lanka U1931022:53
4Bhutan U1930121:101
5Pakistan U1900000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Saudi Arabia U19330011:19
2Yemen U1932012:26
3Turkmenistan U1931024:73
4Syria U1930032:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1United Arab Emirates U19330015:09
2Palestine U1932013:56
3Afghanistan U1931022:53
4India U1930030:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Qatar U19330013:29
2Oman U1931115:34
3Lebanon U1931114:54
4Kyrgyzstan U1930033:150
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iran U19330015:09
2Kuwait U1931113:44
3Jordan U1931024:53
4Nepal U1930121:141
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iraq U19330011:19
2Tajikistan U19320111:46
3Bahrain U1931027:73
4Maldives U1930030:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vietnam U19440011:212
2Myanmar U1942116:27
3Timor-Leste U1941215:25
4Hong Kong U1941127:54
5Brunei U1940040:180
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1South Korea U19440026:412
2Thailand U19430114:29
3Singapore U19411214:114
4Chinese Taipei U19411213:124
5Northern Mariana Islands U1940040:380
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1China U19330016:09
2North Korea U1932017:36
3Malaysia U1931024:83
4Macau U1930031:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U19330011:09
2Australia U1932018:36
3Laos U1931022:53
4Philippines U1930031:140