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Akhmat Grozny vs Fakel Voronezh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Akhmat-Arena, Groznyj
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

1' Event
Melkadze G.
23'
Kovalev A.
31' Event
Cacintura E.

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

60%
Akhmat Grozny
22%
Uavgjort
18%
Fakel Voronezh
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: Akhmat Grozny

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Akhmat Grozny carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Akhmat Grozny's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Akhmat Grozny have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fakel Voronezh, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 69%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 32%
Akhmat Grozny Rent bur 68%
Fakel Voronezh Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Akhmat Grozny Fakel Voronezh
Kamper Spilt 27 28
Seire 10 6
Uavgjort 9 8
Tap 8 14
Mål Scoret 1.37 1
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.19 1.36
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.50 1.19
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

18. aug. 2026 Russian Cup
Akhmat Grozny vs Fakel Voronezh
2:1
10. aug. 2026 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny
0:0
5. apr. 2025 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny
0:0
18. okt. 2024 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Fakel Voronezh
2:3
25. mai 2024 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny
2:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Akhmat Grozny Sammenlign

Toppscorer Melkadze G.
1 Mål
Assister Cacintura E.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.15
Snitt xA / kamp 0.75

Fakel Voronezh Sammenlign

Toppscorer Alshin I.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.08
Snitt xA / kamp 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Akhmat Grozny 68 / 100
Fakel Voronezh 18 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Akhmat Grozny Fakel Voronezh

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Akhmat Grozny Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Akhmat Grozny scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Fakel Voronezh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Akhmat Grozny stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Akhmat Grozny VS Fakel Voronezh
1.63 Mål scoret 0.75
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Akhmat Grozny

(Home)
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3
Krylya Sovetov Samara
Page 1 of 6

Fakel Voronezh

(Away)
10 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 5
Lokomotiv Moscow
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0
Vitebsk
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0
Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2
Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)