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Stadium Background

Al Ahli SC vs Al Nassr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
tor. 15. okt. 2026
VS
06:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Al Ahli SC host Al Nassr in the Saudi Professional League. This one's hard to separate. Al Nassr have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Al Ahli SC have conceded 1.08 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Al Ahli SC slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 29. apr. 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.25) point toward Al Nassr. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

60%
Al Ahli SC
22%
Uavgjort
18%
Al Nassr
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: Al Ahli SC

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Al Nassr average 2.42 goals a game right now, well clear of Al Ahli SC's 2.
  • Win probability leans Al Ahli SC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Ahli SC Rent bur 19%
Al Nassr Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Al Ahli SC Al Nassr
Kamper Spilt 38 33
Seire 24 24
Uavgjort 4 2
Tap 10 7
Mål Scoret 2 2.42
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.08 1
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.75 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

29. apr. 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Ahli SC
2:0
2. jan. 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Nassr
3:2
23. aug. 2025 Super Cup
Al Nassr vs Al Ahli SC
2:3
13. feb. 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Nassr
2:3
13. sep. 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Ahli SC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Al Ahli SC 58 / 100
Al Nassr 18 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Al Ahli SC Al Nassr

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Al Ahli SC Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Al Ahli SC's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al Ahli SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Al Nassr conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.

Måltrender

Al Ahli SC VS Al Nassr
2.13 Mål scoret 1.13
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli SC

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4
Al Ahli SC
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1
Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 8

Al Nassr

(Away)
09 Oct
Al Nassr
3 : 0
Al Diriyah
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0
Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Nassr
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)